COLLEGE BASKETBALL

Howard enters with a 1-2 record and a stronger statistical base than Stetson, despite some uneven early results. The Bison are scoring 73.7 points per game on 42.7% shooting and 30.9% from three, while allowing 77.7 points per game. Their rebounding numbers are also solid at 37.3 per game, which should help them create second-chance opportunities and limit extra possessions for Stetson. Stetson comes in at 0-3 and has been much less efficient on offense, averaging 60.0 points per game with a 42.4% field goal mark, 28.2% from three, and only 53.1% at the free throw line. The Hatters are also giving up 85.6 points per game, which is a major issue against a Howard team that can score in the paint and on the offensive glass. Recent form and the team metrics both point to Howard being the more complete side, with the main question being whether the Bison turn that into a controlled win rather than an up-tempo scoring burst.
Howard is the more efficient team on both ends and should be able to dictate enough of the matchup to win by double digits, but the cleaner value looks better on the total. Stetson’s scoring issues and Howard’s rebounding edge make a faster, higher-scoring game less likely than the posted number suggests, and the projected final score of Howard Bison 78, Stetson Hatters 68 points to an under result with Howard also in control from start to finish.