South Carolina St Bulldogs vs Charleston Cougars Prediction - November 15, 2026

Prediction

• ●Recommended Position: Charleston Cougars -41.5
• ●Model Win Probability: 98.0%
• ●Market Implied Probability: 95.0%
• ●Model Edge: 3.0%
• ●Entry Threshold: Play to -41.5
• ●Model Confidence: 63/100

Model Projection

• ●Projected Score: Charleston Cougars 86, South Carolina St Bulldogs 44
• ●Projected Total: 130.0

Why This Position Stands Out

Charleston brings the clearer scoring and efficiency edge. Through three games, the Cougars are averaging 104.7 points per game on 57.5% shooting, with a 111.9 offensive rating and only 67.4 points allowed per game. South Carolina State is scoring 78.2 per game on 39.9% shooting, with a 96.1 offensive rating and 72.8 allowed per game. That gap in shot-making and overall efficiency supports a large margin in Charleston’s favor, especially with the game on Charleston’s home floor where the Cougars have already won comfortably at home this season. The market has already priced Charleston as a heavy favorite, but the spread still leaves room if the game follows the statistical profile. Charleston’s three-game start has been dominant in both results and margin, while South Carolina State has been more modest and has not shown the same offensive ceiling. Charleston is also 1-0 at home and has covered every game so far, while South Carolina State is 2-1 against the spread. That said, the size of the gap in points per game, shooting percentage, and offensive rating is the main reason the home side remains the stronger position here.