Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Evansville Purple Aces Prediction - November 14, 2026

Matchup Overview

Miami (OH) enters with the better overall statistical profile: 83.0 points per game, 44.7 percent shooting, 88.4 percent free throw shooting, and 108.9 offensive rating against a 104.9 defensive rating. Evansville is at 75.3 points per game, 39.8 percent from the field, 33.0 percent from three, and 99.4 offensive rating with a 108.5 defensive rating. That gap explains why Miami should be favored outright, but it does not automatically support the biggest spread in the market. Recent form also points to a competitive game rather than a blowout. Evansville has been playing lower-end competition early, and its recent results have included a close home loss and a more comfortable home win. Miami (OH) has opened 2-0 and has looked efficient offensively, but the team’s current sample is still limited. The matchup favors Miami’s scoring efficiency and free throw edge, while Evansville’s path to staying inside the number is to control possessions, rebound well enough, and avoid a major shooting collapse.

Market Trends

• ●Evansville Purple Aces have been a small sample side in lined games so far, with recent totals split between an under and an over in the available game log.
• ●Miami (OH) RedHawks have opened the season with a strong start in the available results, and their recent games have trended toward competitive scoring environments.

Prediction Summary

Miami (OH) should win this game, but the projected margin is tighter than the most expensive Evansville number available in the market suggests. The RedHawks have the better offensive and defensive efficiency, while Evansville’s shooting numbers are weaker, but the home side has enough rebounding and scoring to keep the game within range. A projected final of Miami (OH) 79, Evansville 72 points to Evansville plus the points as the best value position, with the total landing in the low 150s.