Marshall Thundering Herd vs Youngstown St Penguins Prediction - November 14, 2026

Matchup Overview

Marshall enters with the better overall predictive numbers and a more balanced scoring profile. The Thundering Herd are scoring more efficiently and allowing fewer points per game than Youngstown State, and their KenPom offensive and defensive ratings are both better. Youngstown State has some comparable shooting rates from three, but the Penguins lag badly in free throw percentage, rebounding, and points allowed, which can create problems if the game becomes possession-heavy. Youngstown State has been more vulnerable on the defensive end, allowing 83.6 points per game and posting a weaker defensive rating. Marshall’s numbers suggest a more stable floor because the Herd are not dependent on one stat category to carry them. In a matchup like this, the team with the stronger two-way efficiency and better interior control generally deserves the edge.

Market Trends

• ●Youngstown State's ATS trends page is loading without a readable record in the available data, and its over/under trends page is loading without a readable record in the available data.
• ●Marshall's ATS trends page is not rendering a readable record in the available data, and its over/under trends page is not rendering a readable record in the available data.

Prediction Summary

Marshall is the better statistical side and the projected winner here, with a final score of Marshall Thundering Herd 79, Youngstown St Penguins 74. The Herd bring the stronger scoring output, better rebound numbers, and better efficiency ratings, which supports a modest moneyline edge over a market that is still close to even at the sharper end. The game should be competitive, but Marshall’s two-way profile gives it the clearer path to a road win.