COLLEGE BASKETBALL

Seattle enters with the better all-around profile and the better recent statistical base. The Redhawks are averaging 70.3 points per game with 45.6 percent shooting, 63.6 percent from the line, and 34.0 rebounds per game. Their defensive numbers are stronger as well, allowing 73.3 points per game, and their efficiency ratings are notably better than Idaho State’s. Idaho State’s early-season profile has been rough. The Bengals are averaging 67.3 points per game, shooting 35.3 percent from the field and 21.3 percent from three, while allowing 91.9 points per game. Their rebounding number is similar to Seattle’s, but the offensive efficiency gap is large, and that is the biggest reason the game projects toward Seattle in a lower-scoring result rather than a wide-open shootout.
Seattle is the better side across the main statistical categories, and the home team’s defensive edge is the strongest reason to expect control of the game from start to finish. Idaho State’s poor shooting numbers and high points allowed rate point to another difficult night, while Seattle’s modest but more stable offensive profile should be enough to create separation. The projected final score is Seattle Redhawks 76, Idaho State Bengals 62, which supports an under result and a comfortable home win.