COLLEGE BASKETBALL
Seattle’s start has been uneven in the win-loss column, but the underlying numbers are still stronger than Idaho State’s. The Redhawks have scored 70.3 points per game with a 45.6 field goal rate, a 28.1 three-point rate, and a 63.6 free throw rate. Idaho State has been far less efficient offensively, at 67.3 points per game with a 35.3 field goal rate and a 21.3 three-point rate. Seattle also owns the edge on the glass, 34.0 rebounds per game to 32.7, which matters against a Bengals team that has struggled to generate consistent offense. Defensively, the contrast is even sharper. Seattle is allowing 73.3 points per game, while Idaho State is giving up 91.9. The KenPom efficiency split supports that same view, with Seattle carrying a far better defensive rating and a modestly better overall rating. Idaho State’s profile suggests a team that is still searching for offensive rhythm, and that is a difficult starting point in a road game against a home team that should control tempo and scoring chances.
Seattle should control this matchup from the opening stretch, using its better shot profile and more dependable defense to build a lead that Idaho State struggles to challenge. The Bengals’ offensive efficiency has been too weak to trust against a stronger home side, while Seattle’s scoring and rebounding edge should be enough to secure the result. Final projection: Seattle Redhawks 82, Idaho State Bengals 58.
