Hampton Pirates vs Navy Midshipmen Prediction - November 14, 2026

Matchup Overview

Navy enters with the stronger recent record and a more balanced profile on both ends. The Midshipmen are at 72.0 points per game and have shown better perimeter shooting and rebounding than Hampton, while their KenPom offensive and defensive numbers are slightly better overall. Hampton has kept games relatively controlled on the defensive side, allowing 68.6 points per game, but its offense has struggled to generate enough efficient scoring to pressure a stronger home opponent. Hampton’s biggest issue has been shot quality and conversion. The Pirates have only 32.8 field goal shooting and 27.0 from three, which makes it hard to keep pace if Navy gets even average production. Navy’s numbers are not flashy, but they are more stable, and its home court edge matters in a game where the margin projects to be modest. If Navy avoids a cold shooting night, it has the more reliable path to control the result from the second half onward.

Market Trends

• ●Navy is 1-2 ATS with a -7.8 average ATS margin and 1-2 to the over with a -6.2 average total margin.
• ●Hampton is 1-1 ATS with a 0.0 average ATS margin and 0-2 to the over with a -15.0 average total margin.

Prediction Summary

Navy is projected to win a close game at home, with the better shooting, rebounding, and overall efficiency profile giving the Midshipmen a small but meaningful edge. Hampton’s offense has been too inconsistent to trust on the road, while Navy’s 3-1 start and stronger scoring metrics support a narrow home result. The projected final score is Navy Midshipmen 68, Hampton Pirates 64.