COLLEGE BASKETBALL

San Diego State enters with the better overall profile, averaging 89.5 points per game on 48.7% shooting, 42.1% from three, and 78.5% at the foul line. The Aztecs are also pulling down 44.0 rebounds per game and allowing only 72.0 points per game, which points to a team that can control possession count and limit second chances. Bethune-Cookman has been more volatile, scoring 69.7 points per game on 42.7% shooting and 36.2% from deep while allowing 84.7 points per game. Its rebounding number sits at 31.0 per game, well below San Diego State’s mark, and the defensive numbers suggest difficulty keeping this game in the higher-scoring range if San Diego State defends to its current level. The short season sample is small, but the gap in efficiency and scoring balance is still clear.
San Diego State should control this game from the start and finish with the better defensive performance, leading to a comfortable home win and a total that stays below the market number. The projected final score is San Diego State 83, Bethune-Cookman 64, with the Under carrying the clearest value based on the available team statistics, the current market setup, and the likely pace of play.