CFL

Hamilton enters with a 4-11 record, 362 points for, and 458 points against, while Ottawa is 0-14 with 339 points for and 524 points against. The Tiger-Cats have shown more fight in recent games, including a one-score loss in overtime at Edmonton, and their offense has generally been good enough to keep them in games. Ottawa has had the opposite profile, repeatedly falling behind and struggling to stop opponents, with the season-long defensive numbers pointing to a team that gives up too many long drives and too many scores.
Hamilton is the better side in this matchup and should be trusted to win outright. The Tiger-Cats have the edge in offense, defense, and overall season results, while Ottawa’s winless record and weak points-against mark make it hard to back the Redblacks even at home. My projected final score is Hamilton 29, Ottawa 25, which points to a Tiger-Cats victory with a moderate-scoring game that stays controlled rather than turning into a shootout.