Utah vs West Virginia Pick & Prediction - 9/27/2025
Updated September 25, 2025
Updated September 25, 2025
The Utah Utes (3–1) will face the West Virginia Mountaineers (2–2) on Saturday at Milan Puskar Stadium in Morgantown. Both teams have lost their first game in Big 12 play this year and are in need of a win to avoid falling too far behind in the standings after this week. Before these conference opponents kick things off on Saturday, continue reading to get my Utah vs West Virginia prediction.
Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
Utah -12.5 | Utah -500 / West Virginia +360 | 47.5 |
Utah quarterback Devon Dampier has been a dual-threat this season, amassing over 1,000 yards between passing and rushing. He leads the Utes in both of those yardage categories. His ability to extend plays and keep defenses off-balance with his running ability will be important weapons on the road in conference play here.
West Virginia's offense has faced challenges, especially in its recent 41–10 loss to Kansas. Quarterback Nicco Marchiol completed just 15 of 27 passes for 126 yards and was intercepted in that game. The Mountaineers are facing a Utah team that prides itself on getting defensive stops. West Virginia needs to find an offensive spark to avoid problems in this matchup.
Devon Dampier has seven touchdown passes and a rushing touchdown so far this season. He is completing over 70% of his passes so far this year and his combination of versability and efficiency will be important going into this matchup. Marchiol is also completing over two-thirds of his passes this year but has been far less effective and needs to change that for his team to get an upset win.
Score Projection: Utah 31 – West Virginia 24
Win Probability: Utah 75%, West Virginia 25%
I would expect Utah to get a win on the road here to avoid an 0-2 start in Big 12 play. But I would also expect West Virginia to cover the spread at home. The Mountaineers are 2-0 at home on the season going into this contest and beat rival Pittsburgh in the Backyard Brawl already in Morgantown. We should see the Mountaineers keep this game within 7-10 points to cover the number when all is said and done.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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