Tulane vs Tulsa Pick & Prediction - 9/27/2025
Updated September 26, 2025
Updated September 26, 2025
The Tulane Green Wave will visit the Tulsa Golden Hurricane on Saturday as the American Athletic Conference season begins for the Tulane Green Wave. Tulsa dropped its first conference game of the season and will try to even their AAC record at 1-1 at the expense of a heavily-favored Tulane team. Before kickoff from Tulsa, continue reading to get my Tulane vs Tulsa prediction.
Betting Market | Odds |
|---|---|
Spread | Tulane -15.5 |
Moneyline | Tulane -750, Tulsa +475 |
Total | 51.5 |
Tulane enters this game with a 3-1 record, thanks to a potent offense averaging 25 points per game. The Green Wave split their two games against power conference opponents this season, defeating Duke and losing to Ole Miss. The Green Wave will look to get back on track offensively after being held to 10 points by Ole Miss last week.
Tulsa's defense has been commendable this season, allowing an average of 20.5 points per game. They held Oklahoma State to just 12 points in a 19-12 upset of the Cowboys last week. If the Tulsa defense plays like that again here, the Golden Hurricane could get its second straight upset win.
Quarterback Jake Retzlaff has been instrumental to Tulane's success so far this year. He has 578 passing yards and two touchdowns, along with 339 rushing yards and six touchdowns on the ground. His dual-threat capability makes Tulane's offense dynamic and challenging for opponents to contain.
Hayes has shown flashes of potential, throwing for 536 yards and three touchdowns this season. However, his two interceptions indicate areas for improvement from a decision-making standpoint. Against a Tulane defense that has been opportunistic, Hayes will need to minimize mistakes to keep Tulsa competitive.
Score Projection: Tulane 34 – Tulsa 17
Win Probability: Tulane 85%, Tulsa 15%
Tulsa's win over Oklahoma State was impressive, but it is also worth noting that Oklahoma State has fired Mike Gundy since then. That win is not as impressive as it might have been in previous years. I think that Tulane will send Tulsa crashing back to earth this weekend. My recommendation is to lay the points with the Green Wave, who will bounce back nicely from their loss to Ole Miss.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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