Kent State vs Ball State Pick & Prediction - 11/5/2025
Updated November 5, 2025
Updated November 5, 2025
The Kent State Golden Flashes (3-5, 2-2 MAC) will face the Ball State Cardinals (3-5, 2-2 MAC) on Wednesday night in Muncie. Both teams sit at 2-2 in conference play and are looking to get above the .500 mark in a highly competitive MAC. Before kickoff in this important game for both teams, continue reading to get my Kent State vs Ball State prediction.
Kent State’s starter at quarterback is Dru DeShields. He thrown for 1,109 yards, 11 touchdowns, and just two interceptions in 2025. He hasn't been all that productive over the course of this season but he has done a nice job of avoiding interceptions and sticking his defense with short fields.
Ball State’s quarterback Kiael Kelly is more of a dual-threat and a run-first quarterback. Through eight games, Kelly has 982 passing yards, six touchdowns, and five interceptions. He also has 141 rushes for 417 yards and five touchdowns. His passing efficiency is poor, but he will try to make up for that with his legs.
Score Projection: Ball State 24 – Kent State 21
Win Probability: Ball State 57%, Kent State 43%
This has the potential to be an ugly game from both of these offenses. But I think that Ball State has the upper hand at home in this contest. Both of Kent State's MAC wins have come at home, including one over a dreadful UMass team. I'll take the Cardinals to win and cover the spread on their home turf tonight.
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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