Washington State and Arizona State will face off on Tuesday night at the Southwest Maui Invitational. These teams got wins in the opening round of this tournament and will play to determine who makes it to the final. Before this contest tips off from Hawai’i, you can continue reading to find my Washington State vs Arizona State prediction below.
Our Washington State vs Arizona State Pick
- Pick: Washington State +6.5
- Confidence: 3/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Washington State Cougars vs Arizona State Sun Devils
- Date & Time: Tuesday, November 25, 2025, 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Lahaina Civic Center, Maui, Hawaii
- Broadcast: ESPN
Key Storylines
- Washington State played a much closer game against Chaminade than they would have anticipated going into that contest. They won by just five points and trailed for the bulk of that game. A better performance will be required from the Cougars if they want to win this contest and make it to the final in Maui.
- Arizona State looked very good against Texas in their first-round matchup at this tournament. Maurice Odum exploded for a career‑high 36 points in ASU’s 87–86 comeback win on Monday, including a go-ahead three. That kind of leadership could carry into this game, as ASU looks for its fourth win in a row.
- Three-point shooting was a huge factor in Arizona State’s win over Texas. The Sun Devils shot 50% from three-point range, converting at a higher percentage than they did from two-point territory in that game. ASU will try to replicate that performance, while Wazzu needs to find a way to limit the Sun Devils from the perimeter.
- ASU averages 33.8 rebounds/game, while WSU averages 35.3 boards per contest. Controlling the glass could mean second chances and turn this game in one direction or the other.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- WSU and ASU have a history dating back decades. The Sun Devils won their last meeting against Washington State in February of 2024, before the Pac-12 fell apart.
- Arizona State is 4-1-1 against the spread going into this contest.
- Washington State is 2-3 against the spread this season so far.
- The under has cashed in four of Arizona State’s first six games.
- The over is 3-2 in games involving Washington State thus far.
Washington State vs Arizona State Model Projection
Score Projection: Washington State 70 – Arizona State 71
Win Probability: WSU 45%, ASU 55%
Final Thoughts
I think we are going to see a very close game between these former Pac-12 rivals in Maui. Arizona State should see some three-point shooting regression in this contest. And while I project a win for the Sun Devils, I also think that Washington State will do enough defensively to cover the spread in this one.
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