Updated February 18, 2026
Wednesday night’s SEC basketball action includes the Vanderbilt Commodores traveling to Columbia, Missouri, to tangle with the Missouri Tigers. Vanderbilt enters this contest with a strong overall record, solid offensive efficiency, and impressive wins over quality opponents, while Missouri aims to bolster its NCAA Tournament credentials at home. Before tip-off from Mizzou Arena, continue reading to get my breakdown of this game, including my Vanderbilt vs Missouri prediction.
Pick: Vanderbilt -3.5 ATS PRO
Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Statistic | Vanderbilt | Missouri |
|---|---|---|
Points per game | 88.4 | 80.0 |
Points allowed per game | 73.6 | 74.3 |
Team Field Goal % | 48.4% | 49.2% |
Rebounds per game | 36.4 | 36.6 |
Assists per game | 17.0 | 14.6 |
Vanderbilt’s offensive numbers stand out here, with an average near 88 points per game and a defense that limits opponents to around 73 points. Missouri also scores efficiently but not at Vanderbilt’s pace, and the Tigers’ free-throw shooting is a notable weakness relative to the Commodores’ strength at the line. Vanderbilt’s better assist rate illustrates their ball movement and offensive cohesion, advantages they’ll look to maintain on the road.
Score Projection: Vanderbilt 80 – Missouri 75 ATS PRO
Win Probability: Vanderbilt 66%, Missouri 34% ATS PRO
Vanderbilt’s offensive firepower and overall statistical advantages give them an edge in this SEC contest on the road. Missouri’s home court and tournament aspirations make them dangerous, but the Commodores’ balance and ability to convert at the free-throw line should carry them to a close road victory. I'll lay the points with Vandy in what should be a good one in SEC country.
Affiliate DisclosureATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.