Colgate Raiders vs Boston University Terriers Pick & Prediction - 2/16/2026

The Patriot League gets an intriguing matchup Monday evening when the Colgate Raiders (16-11, 10-4 Patriot League) make the short road trip to face the Boston University Terriers (12-15, 7-7 Patriot League). Both teams are fighting to secure a better seed as the regular season enters its final stretch. Colgate enters as a small favorite but Boston University has momentum from a four-game home win streak. With offensive firepower on both sides, this game has the feel of a tight battle that could come down to a late shot or key defensive stop. Here, I break down this contest and make my Colgate vs Boston University prediction.

Our Colgate vs Boston University Pick

Pick: Colgate Raiders -1.5 ATS PRO

Confidence: ★★★★☆

Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Colgate Raiders @ Boston University Terriers
• Date & Time: Monday, February 16, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
• Venue: Case Gym, Boston, Massachusetts
• Broadcast: CBS Sports Network

Key Players

Boston University Terriers

• Michael McNair – The senior guard is Boston U’s go-to scorer, averaging about 16.9 points per game while knocking down nearly 3.3 three-pointers each outing and shooting around 46.1% from deep. His perimeter threat will be crucial against a Colgate defense that has given up a fair number of threes. He also provides leadership in a Terriers squad that needs efficient scoring to stay competitive.
• Ben Defty – Defty has been one of BU’s most consistent options, averaging around 17.4 points over his last 10 games and shooting at a high clip. His ability to get to the free-throw line and convert efficiently adds a reliable scoring option to complement McNair.
• Chance Gladden – While not as prolific a scorer, Gladden contributes across the stat sheet with around 5.5 rebounds per game and helps the Terriers maintain possession and facilitate offense. His all-around effort stabilizes BU’s second unit.

Colgate Raiders

• Jalen Cox – Colgate’s leader on both ends of the floor, Cox averages roughly 17.2 points per game along with about 5.1 rebounds, 5.5 assists, and nearly 2 steals. His ability to create for himself and others makes him the focal point of the Raiders’ attack.
• Andrew Alekseyenko – The forward provides solid interior play and scoring, averaging around 15.8 points over his recent games. His rebounding and physical presence will be key on the boards against Boston University.
• Sam Wright – A versatile weapon, Wright adds balanced scoring and floor spacing. In the earlier OT win over BU this season, he scored 22 points, showing his ability to step up in key moments.

Stat Comparison

Statistically, these teams are very similar in offensive production, with nearly identical points per game and field goal percentages. Colgate holds a slight advantage defensively, allowing fewer points per contest and rebounding better overall. Boston University’s three-point shooting prowess can move this game in their direction, but the stats say we're in for a close one here.

Head-to-Head & Betting Trends

The Raiders and Terriers played a memorable overtime affair in their first matchup this season, with Colgate grabbing a one-point win. Historically, their recent matchup history favors Colgate in the last decade, although BU’s win last year in double overtime shows the series can be competitive. This season, Colgate is 11-14 against the spread, while BU is 13-12 against the spread.

Colgate vs Boston University Model Projection

Score Projection: Colgate 77 – Boston University 74 ATS PRO

Win Probability: Colgate 58%, Boston University 42% ATS PRO

Final Thoughts

This Patriot League clash promises intensity from both sides. Colgate’s overall defensive efficiency and deeper rotation should give them the edge in a close contest, while BU’s three-point shooting can keep things tight until the final minutes. Expect a competitive game, but I'll go with Colgate to cover the spread and secure the road victory.

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