Updated December 12, 2025
The Texas Tech Red Raiders and Arkansas Razorbacks will meet in Dallas on Saturday afternoon in one of the biggest games of the day in college basketball. Both of these teams are 7-2 on the season so far and ranked inside of the top 20 in the country. But only one of these teams will continue their current winning streak with a victory here. Before tip-off from American Airlines Center, you will find my Arkansas vs Texas Tech prediction right here.
This is a marquee early-season matchup featuring two ranked teams that are both at 7-2 on the young season and looking to build momentum before their respective conference schedules. The Red Raiders and Razorbacks renew their long rivalry with added drama thanks to last season’s Sweet Sixteen battle that saw Texas Tech rally from a double-digit second-half deficit for an 85-83 win. That is a memory Arkansas has vowed to respond to this weekend.
Arkansas brings one of the most efficient offenses in the country into this game, averaging 87.6 points per game while shooting 47.4% from the field and a respectable 35.5% from beyond the arc. Guards Darius Acuff Jr. and Meleek Thomas have been consistent scoring threats, combining for roughly 34 points per contest. Their depth and ability to push tempo make this Razorbacks squad difficult to contain if they remain consistent from long range.
On the other side, Texas Tech’s strength centers on physical play and versatility. J.T. Toppin has been dominant on both ends, averaging over 20 points and 11 rebounds with a presence as an elite rim protector. Christian Anderson adds significant scoring ability with close to 19 points per game and leads the team in assists. The Red Raiders shoot more triples per game than Arkansas allows and have showcased an ability to win battles on the glass.
Score Projection: Arkansas 77 – Texas Tech 80
Win Probability: Arkansas 44%, Texas Tech 56%
I'm projecting this as a close game from Dallas on Saturday afternoon. But I'm going to take the Red Raiders to win and cover the spread here. Texas Tech is slightly better on both ends of the floor going into this game and they should be able to do just enough defensively to get themselves over the finish line in a game that will be highly entertaining, just as the matchup between these teams was last season in the NCAA Tournament.
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