Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Predictions – 12/23/2025

The Pittsburgh Penguins head into Tuesday’s game against the Toronto Maple Leafs seeking a second win in a row, while Toronto is trying to stop the bleeding after a run of disappointing results. Both teams are looking for a win in their final game before the holiday break. Before the opening face-off from Toronto, you will find my Penguins vs Maple Leafs prediction below.

Our Penguins vs Maple Leafs Pick

Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs
• Date & Time: Tuesday, December 23, 2025, 4:00 PM Eastern Time
• Venue: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, Ontario
• Broadcast: TNT

Key Storylines

Recent form

Pittsburgh enters this contest having won their last game over the Montreal Canadiens in a shootout. That win snapped an eight-game losing streak and the Pens will try to build on that victory by closing out their pre-holiday schedule with a victory this afternoon.

Toronto has been struggling of late, having lost three games in a row entering this matchup. The Leafs have been struggling both offensively and defensively, being outscored 14-4 during their three-game losing streak. The question now is whether the Leafs can recover and get a win before the multi-day rest period.

Goaltending

The goaltending situation for Pittsburgh is unsettled due to injuries and trades this season. We should see Stuart Skinner in net for this matchup, whose GAA is just under 3.00 for the season. Toronto’s crease is likely to be occupied by Joseph Woll, who has a 2.46 GAA and has been solid during his starts this season so far.

Key skaters

Sidney Crosby is carrying the Penguins offensively of late, especially with Evgeni Malkin out of action. Crosby has 20 goals and 17 assists this season and any contributions from him would be huge in this contest. Toronto’s most important players are William Nylander and John Taveres. Nylander is up to 25 assists on the season and his ability to set up others will be instrumental to the success of the Leafs.

Best Player Props

Betting Trends & H2H

• The Maple Leafs are 2-0 against the Penguins so far this season.
• Pittsburgh is 22-13 on the puckline so far this season.
• Toronto is 12-23 in the puckline market entering Tuesday’s game.

Penguins vs Maple Leafs Model Projection

Final Thoughts

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.