Tank Bigsby projections and prop bets for New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars on Oct 20, 2024
Tank Bigsby Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 1.5 over: 170
- Receptions 1.5 under: -220
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
At the moment, the 4th-most pass-focused team in the league (64.1% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Jacksonville Jaguars.
The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New England's LB corps has been very bad this year, profiling as the worst in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
This game's line suggests a running game script for the Jaguars, who are favored by 6.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jaguars are predicted by the projections to run only 62.3 total plays in this contest: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
The 7th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a measly 54.2 per game on average).
Tank Bigsby places in just the 7th percentile among running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) with a poor 0.7 mark this year.
Tank Bigsby rates as one of the worst RB receiving threats this year, averaging a mere 0.2 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 2nd percentile among running backs.
Projection For Tank Bigsby Receptions Prop Bet
Tank Bigsby is projected to have 1.3 Receptions in this weeks game.
Tank Bigsby Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 61.5 over: -129
- Rushing Yards 61.5 under: -106
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
This game's line suggests a running game script for the Jaguars, who are favored by 6.5 points.
The predictive model expects Tank Bigsby to accrue 14.5 carries in this contest, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to RBs.
While Tank Bigsby has earned 40.6% of his team's run game usage in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more important option in Jacksonville's run game this week at 54.6%.
Tank Bigsby's 62.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season indicates a meaningful growth in his rushing skills over last season's 11.0 figure.
Tank Bigsby's 7.6 adjusted yards per carry this season shows a significant progression in his rushing skills over last season's 2.8 figure.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
At the moment, the 4th-least run-heavy offense in the league (35.9% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jaguars are predicted by the projections to run only 62.3 total plays in this contest: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
The 7th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a measly 54.2 per game on average).
Projection For Tank Bigsby Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Tank Bigsby is projected to have 60.8 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Tank Bigsby Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 6.5 over: -107
- Receiving Yards 6.5 under: -122
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
At the moment, the 4th-most pass-focused team in the league (64.1% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Jacksonville Jaguars.
The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
Tank Bigsby has accumulated many more adjusted receiving yards per game (6.0) this year than he did last year (0.0).
As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New England's LB corps has been very bad this year, profiling as the worst in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
This game's line suggests a running game script for the Jaguars, who are favored by 6.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jaguars are predicted by the projections to run only 62.3 total plays in this contest: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
The 7th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a measly 54.2 per game on average).
Tank Bigsby places in just the 7th percentile among running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) with a poor 0.7 mark this year.
The Patriots pass defense has excelled when opposing running backs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.19 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 2nd-fewest in football.
Projection For Tank Bigsby Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Tank Bigsby is projected to have 9.9 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Tank Bigsby Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 13.5 over: -136
- Carries 13.5 under: 104
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
This game's line suggests a running game script for the Jaguars, who are favored by 6.5 points.
The predictive model expects Tank Bigsby to accrue 14.5 carries in this contest, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to RBs.
While Tank Bigsby has earned 40.6% of his team's run game usage in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more important option in Jacksonville's run game this week at 54.6%.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, New England's collection of LBs has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the 4th-worst in football. in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
At the moment, the 4th-least run-heavy offense in the league (35.9% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jaguars are predicted by the projections to run only 62.3 total plays in this contest: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
The 7th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a measly 54.2 per game on average).
Projection For Tank Bigsby Carries Prop Bet
Tank Bigsby is projected to have 14 Carries in this weeks game.
