Pat Freiermuth projections and prop bets for Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns on Nov 21, 2024
Pat Freiermuth Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 18.5 over: -113
- Receiving Yards 18.5 under: -113
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 137.2 total plays called: the most on the slate this week.
The 3rd-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a whopping 61.4 per game on average).
Pat Freiermuth has run a route on 75.3% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile when it comes to TEs.
Pat Freiermuth's 92.2% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a significant growth in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 73.2% mark.
Pat Freiermuth's 9.4 adjusted yards per target this year indicates a significant improvement in his pass-catching ability over last year's 7.2 rate.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on running than their typical approach.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 44.8% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.
Pat Freiermuth has compiled significantly fewer air yards this year (17.0 per game) than he did last year (27.0 per game).
This year, the tough Cleveland Browns defense has yielded a measly 43.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing TEs: the 9th-best in the league.
Projection For Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Pat Freiermuth is projected to have 21.8 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Pat Freiermuth Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 1.5 over: -220
- Receptions 1.5 under: 170
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 137.2 total plays called: the most on the slate this week.
The 3rd-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a whopping 61.4 per game on average).
Pat Freiermuth has run a route on 75.3% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile when it comes to TEs.
Pat Freiermuth rates as one of the top pass-catching tight ends this year, averaging an impressive 3.1 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 77th percentile.
Pat Freiermuth's 92.2% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a significant growth in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 73.2% mark.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on running than their typical approach.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 44.8% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.
The Browns pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (66.5%) versus tight ends this year (66.5%).
Projection For Pat Freiermuth Receptions Prop Bet
Pat Freiermuth is projected to have 2 Receptions in this weeks game.
