Michael Pittman projections and prop bets for Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts on Oct 20, 2024
Michael Pittman Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 49.5 over: -130
- Receiving Yards 49.5 under: -100
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The model projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have 131.1 plays on offense run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.
The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
In this week's contest, Michael Pittman is anticipated by the model to secure a spot in the 88th percentile among wideouts with 8.0 targets.
The Indianapolis O-line profiles as the best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Colts have run the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.0 plays per game.
Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Dolphins, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 28.4 per game) this year.
Michael Pittman's 22.4% Target% this season shows a substantial diminishment in his passing offense volume over last season's 31.6% rate.
After accruing 79.0 air yards per game last season, Michael Pittman has undergone a big decline this season, now boasting 66.0 per game.
Michael Pittman's 47.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season conveys a substantial drop-off in his receiving proficiency over last season's 72.0 mark.
Projection For Michael Pittman Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Michael Pittman is projected to have 59.6 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
