Lamar Jackson projections and prop bets for Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns on Oct 27, 2024
Lamar Jackson Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 9.5 over: -102
- Carries 9.5 under: -128
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
This game's spread indicates a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 4 points.
Our trusted projections expect the Ravens to be the most run-focused team among all teams this week with a 52.4% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to run the 5th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The model projects Lamar Jackson to earn 9.4 carries in this game, on average: the most out of all QBs.
Lamar Jackson isn't afraid to run the ball himself, taking on 30.2% of his team's carries this year, putting him in the 98th percentile when it comes to QBs.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
The Browns linebackers rank as the best collection of LBs in the league this year when it comes to run defense.
Projection For Lamar Jackson Carries Prop Bet
Lamar Jackson is projected to have 9.2 Carries in this weeks game.
Lamar Jackson Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: 145
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -180
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to run the 5th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year.
With a fantastic 69.0% Adjusted Completion% (84th percentile) this year, Lamar Jackson ranks among the most accurate quarterbacks in the league.
With a terrific rate of 2.14 per game (94th percentile), Lamar Jackson places as one of the leading TD throwers in the NFL this year.
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Cleveland's CB corps has been dreadful this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
This game's spread indicates a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 4 points.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 47.6% of their chances: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
At the present time, the 10th-least pass-centric offense in the league in the red zone (53.1% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Ravens.
Our trusted projections expect Lamar Jackson to attempt 28.7 passes in this game, on balance: the 2nd-fewest among all QBs.
Opposing offenses have averaged 29.6 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.
Projection For Lamar Jackson Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Lamar Jackson is projected to have 1.6 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
Lamar Jackson Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 53.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 53.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
This game's spread indicates a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 4 points.
Our trusted projections expect the Ravens to be the most run-focused team among all teams this week with a 52.4% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to run the 5th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The model projects Lamar Jackson to earn 9.4 carries in this game, on average: the most out of all QBs.
Lamar Jackson has rushed for a lot more yards per game (64.0) this season than he did last season (53.0).
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The Browns linebackers rank as the best collection of LBs in the league this year when it comes to run defense.
Projection For Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Lamar Jackson is projected to have 54.5 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Lamar Jackson Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 199.5 over: -145
- Passing Yards 199.5 under: 115
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to run the 5th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year.
Lamar Jackson has thrown for a lot more adjusted yards per game (254.0) this year than he did last year (225.0).
With a fantastic 69.0% Adjusted Completion% (84th percentile) this year, Lamar Jackson ranks among the most accurate quarterbacks in the league.
Lamar Jackson's 8.96 adjusted yards-per-target this season conveys an impressive growth in his passing effectiveness over last season's 7.9% mark.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
This game's spread indicates a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 4 points.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 47.6% of their chances: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Our trusted projections expect Lamar Jackson to attempt 28.7 passes in this game, on balance: the 2nd-fewest among all QBs.
Opposing offenses have averaged 29.6 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.
Opposing QBs have thrown for the 8th-fewest yards in football (just 203.0 adjusted yards per game) vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year.
Projection For Lamar Jackson Passing Yards Prop Bet
Lamar Jackson is projected to have 195.8 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
