Jerry Jeudy projections and prop bets for Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns on Oct 27, 2024
Jerry Jeudy Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 3.5 over: -156
- Receptions 3.5 under: 120
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The Browns will be rolling out backup quarterback Jameis Winston this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
This week's line suggests a throwing game script for the Browns, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Browns to pass on 61.7% of their downs: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
At the present time, the 7th-fastest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Cleveland Browns.
Opposing teams have averaged 41.1 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
Jerry Jeudy's 86.8% Snap% this year marks a significant improvement in his offensive usage over last year's 66.2% figure.
The Browns offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all passing offense stats across the board.
Jerry Jeudy's receiving reliability have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 64.6% to 50.4%.
The Baltimore cornerbacks profile as the 8th-best group of CBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
Projection For Jerry Jeudy Receptions Prop Bet
Jerry Jeudy is projected to have 3.5 Receptions in this weeks game.
Jerry Jeudy Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 45.5 over: -114
- Receiving Yards 45.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Browns will be rolling out backup quarterback Jameis Winston this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
This week's line suggests a throwing game script for the Browns, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Browns to pass on 61.7% of their downs: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
At the present time, the 7th-fastest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Cleveland Browns.
Opposing teams have averaged 41.1 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Jerry Jeudy's 86.8% Snap% this year marks a significant improvement in his offensive usage over last year's 66.2% figure.
The Browns offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all passing offense stats across the board.
Jerry Jeudy's receiving reliability have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 64.6% to 50.4%.
Jerry Jeudy's receiving efficiency has tailed off this season, averaging a mere 6.87 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.96 rate last season.
Jerry Jeudy's 2.14 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year represents a significant decrease in his effectiveness in space over last year's 5.7% figure.
Projection For Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Jerry Jeudy is projected to have 48.3 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
