Jayden Reed projections and prop bets for San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers on Nov 24, 2024
Jayden Reed Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 48.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 48.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The model projects the Packers to be the 8th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 58.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Jayden Reed has run fewer routes this season (75.4% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (63.4%).
The Green Bay Packers offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
Jayden Reed rates as one of the top wide receivers in the league this year, averaging a fantastic 59.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 82nd percentile.
Jayden Reed's possession skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 72.1% to 79.0%.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The projections expect the Packers to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
After accruing 58.0 air yards per game last season, Jayden Reed has significantly declined this season, currently averaging 42.0 per game.
This year, the tough San Francisco 49ers defense has given up a puny 59.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 4th-best rate in the NFL.
This year, the daunting San Francisco 49ers defense has given up the 7th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing wide receivers: a meager 7.7 yards.
When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, San Francisco's LB corps has been excellent this year, ranking as the best in the NFL.
Projection For Jayden Reed Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Jayden Reed is projected to have 48.1 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
