Miami Dolphins

Miami Dolphins

Nov 3, 2024

Buffalo Bills

Buffalo Bills
  • Overview
  • Props

Devon Achane Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Devon Achane projections and prop bets for San Francisco 49ers at Miami Dolphins on Dec 22, 2024

Devon Achane Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 35.5 over: -120
  • Receiving Yards 35.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins to pass on 61.0% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

The Dolphins have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 60.0 plays per game.

The projections expect Devon Achane to earn 6.1 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 99th percentile among running backs.

Devon Achane's 23.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 18.5.

Devon Achane has totaled substantially more adjusted receiving yards per game (37.0) this year than he did last year (20.0).

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have only 122.9 plays on offense called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.

Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the San Francisco 49ers, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.7 per game) this year.

Devon Achane has notched a meager -3.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 12th percentile among RBs.

Devon Achane's talent in picking up extra yardage have worsened this season, notching just 8.03 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 9.36 figure last season.

When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, San Francisco's group of LBs has been very good this year, ranking as the best in the NFL.

Projection For Devon Achane Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Devon Achane is projected to have 33.4 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


Devon Achane Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Rushing Yards 48.5 over: -114
  • Rushing Yards 48.5 under: -114

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

The Dolphins have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 60.0 plays per game.

Devon Achane has been a more important option in his offense's run game this year (45.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (31.2%).

The 49ers safeties rank as the 24th-worst unit in football this year in regard to defending the run.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Miami Dolphins to run on 39.0% of their plays: the 7th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have only 122.9 plays on offense called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.

Devon Achane has run for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (42.0) this year than he did last year (69.0).

Devon Achane's 3.6 adjusted yards per carry this year conveys a material regression in his rushing ability over last year's 7.4 rate.

Devon Achane's 2.74 yards-after-contact this season reflects a noteworthy decrease in his rushing talent over last season's 4.94 rate.

Projection For Devon Achane Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Devon Achane is projected to have 58.7 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.


Devon Achane Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receptions 5.5 over: 104
  • Receptions 5.5 under: -135

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins to pass on 61.0% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

The Dolphins have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 60.0 plays per game.

The projections expect Devon Achane to earn 6.1 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 99th percentile among running backs.

Devon Achane's 23.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 18.5.

Devon Achane's receiving talent has gotten a boost this year, compiling 5.0 adjusted catches vs a mere 2.5 last year.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have only 122.9 plays on offense called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.

Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the San Francisco 49ers, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.7 per game) this year.

When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, San Francisco's group of LBs has been very good this year, ranking as the best in the NFL.

Projection For Devon Achane Receptions Prop Bet

Devon Achane is projected to have 4.6 Receptions in this weeks game.


Devon Achane Player Prop Bet: Carries

Carries Prop Bet Odds:

  • Carries 13.5 over: 100
  • Carries 13.5 under: -130

Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet

The Dolphins have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 60.0 plays per game.

Devon Achane has been a more important option in his offense's run game this year (45.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (31.2%).

The 49ers safeties rank as the 24th-worst unit in football this year in regard to defending the run.

Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Miami Dolphins to run on 39.0% of their plays: the 7th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have only 122.9 plays on offense called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.

Projection For Devon Achane Carries Prop Bet

Devon Achane is projected to have 12.4 Carries in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • Total Receiving Yards
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receptions
  • Longest Rush
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • Longest Reception
  • To Score 4+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Receptions
  • Longest Rush
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • Longest Reception
  • To Score 4+ Touchdowns
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
2
4
3
36
37
39
34
41
38
35
33
40
32
30
31
2
3
4
36
37
41
35
40
39
33
31
34
38
32
30
2
4
3
36
37
39
34
41
38
35
33
40
32
30
31
2
3
4
36
37
41
35
40
39
33
31
34
38
32
30
Consensus
-118
-115
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-111
-118
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-112
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-114
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-115
-121
-120
-113
-113
-128
-143
-125
-121
-121
-123
-
-
-
-
-113
-117
-112
-112
-116
-110
-103
-
-108
-108
-107
-105
-
-
-
-123
-123
-124
-118
-114
-128
-116
-136
-121
-121
-123
-
-
-
-
-112
-108
-116
+113
-112
-112
-116
-
-109
-108
-107
-105
-
-
-
-123
-129
-133
-121
-
-133
-123
-121
-123
-129
-129
-
-
-
-
-117
-106
-
-111
-103
-103
-109
-
-111
-103
-106
-106
-
-
-
-117
-133
-127
-123
-
-131
-117
-142
-121
-129
-129
-
-
-
-
-111
-108
-
-108
-108
-108
+104
-
-113
-101
-106
-106
-
-
-
-130
-125
-135
-120
-120
-120
-115
-120
-115
-120
-
-125
-
-
-
-110
-110
-110
-110
-110
+100
-110
-105
-110
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-125
-125
-130
-125
-120
-125
-120
-120
-120
-120
-
-125
-
-
-
-110
-105
-110
-115
-110
-105
-110
-105
-110
-105
-110
-
-114
-115
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-111
-114
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-118
-112
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-118
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-113
-110
-114
-113
-110
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-113
-113
-114
-
-113
-
-
-114
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-113
-114
-110
-110
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-113
-114
-
-113
-
-
-114
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-110
-115
-115
-
-120
-150
-135
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-
-120
-
-115
-120
-
+100
+110
-
-
-
-
-
-130
-115
-115
-110
-
-120
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-120
-
+115
-
-115
-115
-
+100
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-125
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+420
-
+410
Consensus
-
+550
-
+600
Consensus
-
+240
-
+240
Consensus
-
+700
-
+650
Consensus
-
+410
-
+450
Consensus
-143
+118
-150
+111
Consensus
-
+240
-
+240
-
+420
-
+420
-
+550
-
+600
-
+240
-
+240
-
+650
-
+650
-
+430
-
+440
-
+110
-
+100
-
+230
-
+250
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
19
20
18
87
90
88
89
93
92
91
86
83
94
95
96
20
18
19
88
90
86
87
89
94
92
83
91
93
96
95
19
20
18
87
90
88
89
93
92
91
86
83
94
95
96
20
18
19
88
90
86
87
89
94
92
83
91
93
96
95
Consensus
-118
-110
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-118
-110
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-118
-110
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-118
-113
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-119
-117
-121
-121
-119
-119
-117
-115
-119
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-113
-115
-112
-115
-
-114
-115
-115
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-117
-119
-118
-117
-121
-121
-121
-119
-119
-
-
-
-
-
-
-117
-114
-114
-115
-112
-
-113
-115
-114
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-121
-127
-121
-127
-131
-133
-127
-119
-119
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-108
-113
-115
-113
-
-106
-115
-113
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-121
-127
-119
-119
-127
-129
-125
-119
-119
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-108
-115
-113
-115
-
-108
-115
-109
-104
-
-
-115
-110
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-118
-113
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-110
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-118
-110
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-114
-114
-
-
-114
-114
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-114
-
-113
-115
-114
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-113
-114
-114
-
-
-115
-115
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-114
-113
-
-114
-114
-114
-115
-
-
-
-120
-110
-120
-110
-115
-115
-120
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-120
-115
-110
-115
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-115
-110
-110
-115
-115
-115
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-110
-110
-120
-
-115
-
-120
-115
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
49
51
50
48
47
56
52
53
11
12
49
48
50
51
56
47
53
52
11
12
49
51
50
48
47
56
52
53
11
12
49
48
50
51
56
47
53
52
11
12
Consensus
-112
-114
-113
-119
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-117
-112
-112
-110
-
-119
-
-
-
-
-114
-112
-116
-117
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-112
-112
-114
-111
-
-111
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-118
-106
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-114
-117
-117
-125
-117
-117
-
-
-
-
-
-117
-109
-109
-117
-
-109
-
-
-
-
-117
-125
-117
-125
-125
-
-
-
-
-
-117
-104
-108
-109
-
-117
-
-
-
-
-120
-115
-120
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-110
-
-105
-115
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-115
-125
-125
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-110
-
-120
-115
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-113
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-110
-
-110
-114
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-110
-113
-110
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-113
-
-110
-113
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-118
-106
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-104
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-108
-120
-115
-120
-120
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-120
-120
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-115
-120
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-110
-115
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-125
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-125
-
-
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+675
+693
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
5
4
5
4
5
4
5
4
Consensus
-137
-171
-147
+131
+101
-166
-129
+129
-129
-179
+114
+126
-142
-157
-163
+129
+125
-175
-155
+125
-145
-170
-120
+120
-102
-
-140
-
-128
-
-120
-
-105
-165
-175
+125
+120
-160
-105
+125
+110
-
-145
-
+105
-
-145
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
15
15
15
15
Consensus
-120
-115
-117
-109
-115
-110
-110
-115
-114
-106
-114
-106
-110
-115
-115
-115
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+1400
+2900
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
12
11
13
12
11
13
12
11
13
12
11
13
Consensus
-104
-124
-
-130
+107
-
-104
-140
-
-117
+105
-
-115
-130
-
-120
+100
-
+105
-135
-
-125
+110
-
-102
-
+102
-114
-
-132
-114
-
+102
-128
-
-132
+100
-145
-
-110
+105
-
-125
-145
-
-145
+100
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
16
17
15
16
17
15
16
17
15
16
17
15
Consensus
-122
-107
-122
-110
-125
-122
-109
-109
-123
-109
-123
-105
-113
-111
-125
-121
-123
-109
-121
-109
-108
-127
-125
-108
-120
-110
-125
-120
-125
-105
-115
-105
-125
-115
-125
-105
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+18000
+18000
+18000
+18000