Cole Kmet Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Cole Kmet projections and prop bets for Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions on Nov 28, 2024

Cole Kmet Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

• Receptions 3.5 over: -130
• Receptions 3.5 under: 100

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Bears being a big -10.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The predictive model expects the Bears to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 63.7% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The Bears have called the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 61.3 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Detroit Lions defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (37.9 per game) this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the model to call only 63.3 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-lowest number among all teams this week.

Cole Kmet's 14.9% Target Share this year illustrates a meaningful reduction in his pass attack volume over last year's 20.4% rate.

Cole Kmet's pass-catching performance tailed off this year, compiling a mere 3.9 adjusted catches compared to 4.9 last year.

The Detroit Lions pass defense has yielded the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (63.3%) vs. TEs this year (63.3%).

As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Detroit's group of safeties has been great this year, ranking as the best in the NFL.

Projection For Cole Kmet Receptions Prop Bet

Cole Kmet is projected to have 3.4 Receptions in this weeks game.

Cole Kmet Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Receiving Yards 35.5 over: -110
• Receiving Yards 35.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Bears being a big -10.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The predictive model expects the Bears to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 63.7% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The Bears have called the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 61.3 plays per game.

The Detroit Lions defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (37.9 per game) this year.

Cole Kmet grades out as one of the leading tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging a fantastic 44.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 89th percentile.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the model to call only 63.3 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-lowest number among all teams this week.

Cole Kmet's 14.9% Target Share this year illustrates a meaningful reduction in his pass attack volume over last year's 20.4% rate.

This year, the strong Lions defense has allowed a measly 36.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the 2nd-best in the league.

This year, the fierce Detroit Lions defense has surrendered the least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing tight ends: a meager 5.8 yards.

As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Detroit's group of safeties has been great this year, ranking as the best in the NFL.

Projection For Cole Kmet Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Cole Kmet is projected to have 37.4 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.