Christian Kirk MLB projections and prop bets for Jacksonville Jaguars at Chicago Bears on Oct 13, 2024
Christian Kirk Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 4.5 over: -135
- Receptions 4.5 under: 105
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 60.5% of their plays: the 6th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
At the present time, the 10th-fastest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Jacksonville Jaguars.
The model projects Christian Kirk to accumulate 7.8 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 89th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
Christian Kirk has been a key part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 21.0% this year, which ranks him in the 75th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
Christian Kirk's 63.2% Adjusted Catch% this year shows a noteable decline in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 70.9% rate.
The Bears pass defense has conceded the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (61.3%) versus wide receivers this year (61.3%).
The Chicago Bears safeties project as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.
Projection For Christian Kirk Receptions Prop Bet
Christian Kirk is projected to have 4.6 Receptions in this weeks game.
Christian Kirk Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 51.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 51.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 60.5% of their plays: the 6th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
At the present time, the 10th-fastest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Jacksonville Jaguars.
The model projects Christian Kirk to accumulate 7.8 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 89th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
Christian Kirk has been a key part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 21.0% this year, which ranks him in the 75th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
After accruing 71.0 air yards per game last season, Christian Kirk has been rising this season, now sitting at 89.0 per game.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Christian Kirk's 48.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season signifies a substantial diminishment in his receiving skills over last season's 63.0 mark.
Christian Kirk's 63.2% Adjusted Catch% this year shows a noteable decline in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 70.9% rate.
Christian Kirk's 7.3 adjusted yards per target this season signifies an impressive drop-off in his receiving talent over last season's 9.4 mark.
Christian Kirk's ability to grind out extra yardage has worsened this season, totaling just 2.81 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.30 figure last season.
The Chicago Bears defense has surrendered the 6th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 120.0) to wideouts this year.
Projection For Christian Kirk Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Christian Kirk is projected to have 56.1 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
