Chigoziem Okonkwo projections and prop bets for Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans on Nov 24, 2024
Chigoziem Okonkwo Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 17.5 over: -114
- Receiving Yards 17.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Titans being an enormous -8.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Tennessee Titans to pass on 59.5% of their downs: the 4th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The predictive model expects Chigoziem Okonkwo to earn 4.1 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 76th percentile among tight ends.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Titans are anticipated by the predictive model to call only 63.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
Chigoziem Okonkwo has been much less involved in his team's pass attack this year (11.0% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (16.4%).
Chigoziem Okonkwo has compiled far fewer air yards this year (16.0 per game) than he did last year (33.0 per game).
Chigoziem Okonkwo has accumulated a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (19.0) this season than he did last season (30.0).
This year, the imposing Texans defense has yielded a mere 37.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing TEs: the 2nd-best in football.
Projection For Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Chigoziem Okonkwo is projected to have 25.4 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Chigoziem Okonkwo Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 2.5 over: 132
- Receptions 2.5 under: -174
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Titans being an enormous -8.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Tennessee Titans to pass on 59.5% of their downs: the 4th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The predictive model expects Chigoziem Okonkwo to earn 4.1 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 76th percentile among tight ends.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Titans are anticipated by the predictive model to call only 63.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
Chigoziem Okonkwo has been much less involved in his team's pass attack this year (11.0% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (16.4%).
The Tennessee offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
Chigoziem Okonkwo grades out as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the league among TEs, catching a measly 73.2% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 25th percentile.
This year, the formidable Texans defense has conceded a feeble 60.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the smallest rate in the NFL.
Projection For Chigoziem Okonkwo Receptions Prop Bet
Chigoziem Okonkwo is projected to have 2.5 Receptions in this weeks game.
