Brian Thomas Jr. projections and prop bets for Green Bay Packers at Jacksonville Jaguars on Oct 27, 2024
Brian Thomas Jr. Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 4.5 over: 100
- Receptions 4.5 under: -130
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Jaguars being a huge 7-point favorite this week.
The model projects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.7 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The Jacksonville offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The 7th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Jaguars this year (a measly 54.4 per game on average).
This year, the strong Packers defense has conceded a paltry 61.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 7th-smallest rate in the league.
The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the 4th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.
Projection For Brian Thomas Jr. Receptions Prop Bet
Brian Thomas Jr. is projected to have 5 Receptions in this weeks game.
Brian Thomas Jr. Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 55.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 55.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Jaguars being a huge 7-point favorite this week.
The model projects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.7 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The Jacksonville offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The 7th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Jaguars this year (a measly 54.4 per game on average).
This year, the strong Packers defense has conceded a paltry 61.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 7th-smallest rate in the league.
The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the 4th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.
Projection For Brian Thomas Jr. Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Brian Thomas Jr. is projected to have 67.9 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
