Bijan Robinson projections and prop bets for Atlanta Falcons at Denver Broncos on Nov 17, 2024
Bijan Robinson Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 67.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 67.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 8th-most run-heavy offense in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 41.6% run rate.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see 133.0 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.
The predictive model expects Bijan Robinson to earn 16.1 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 87th percentile among running backs.
Bijan Robinson has been a more integral piece of his offense's running game this year (62.0% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (41.7%).
Bijan Robinson's 67.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season conveys a significant improvement in his running skills over last season's 50.0 rate.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
This year, the feeble Denver Broncos run defense has yielded a staggering 3.99 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing offenses: the 27th-biggest rate in the league.
When it comes to the linebackers' role in run defense, Denver's LB corps has been very good this year, profiling as the 5th-best in football.
Projection For Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Bijan Robinson is projected to have 69.9 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Bijan Robinson Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 24.5 over: -120
- Receiving Yards 24.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see 133.0 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.4 pass attempts per game versus the Broncos defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
The leading projections forecast Bijan Robinson to garner 5.1 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile among RBs.
Bijan Robinson has been a key part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 14.7% this year, which puts him in the 97th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Bijan Robinson has put up significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (33.0) this season than he did last season (27.0).
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The model projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.4% pass rate.
Bijan Robinson has put up a paltry -7.0 air yards per game this year: just 3rd percentile when it comes to running backs.
The Atlanta offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all passing attack stats across the board.
The Denver Broncos safeties project as the 5th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
Projection For Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Bijan Robinson is projected to have 27.1 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Bijan Robinson Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 3.5 over: -135
- Receptions 3.5 under: 105
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see 133.0 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.4 pass attempts per game versus the Broncos defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
The leading projections forecast Bijan Robinson to garner 5.1 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile among RBs.
Bijan Robinson has been a key part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 14.7% this year, which puts him in the 97th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Bijan Robinson checks in as one of the top pass-game running backs this year, averaging an impressive 4.1 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 97th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The model projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.4% pass rate.
The Atlanta offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all passing attack stats across the board.
The Denver Broncos safeties project as the 5th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
Projection For Bijan Robinson Receptions Prop Bet
Bijan Robinson is projected to have 3.6 Receptions in this weeks game.
