Dallas Cowboys

Dallas Cowboys

Nov 3, 2024

Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta Falcons
  • Overview
  • Props

Bijan Robinson Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Bijan Robinson projections and prop bets for New York Giants at Atlanta Falcons on Dec 22, 2024

Bijan Robinson Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Rushing Yards 89.5 over: -110
  • Rushing Yards 89.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

With a 8.5-point advantage, the Falcons are a massive favorite in this week's contest, implying much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard game plan.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to run on 50.1% of their plays: the 5th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

At a mere 27.94 seconds per play, the Falcons offense checks in as the 8th-fastest paced in the league (in a neutral context) this year.

Bijan Robinson's 73.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year marks a substantial boost in his rushing prowess over last year's 50.0 mark.

This year, the feeble New York Giants run defense has yielded a massive 145.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 2nd-most in the league.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.

The Giants defensive tackles grade out as the best collection of DTs in football this year when it comes to run defense.

Projection For Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Bijan Robinson is projected to have 75.3 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.


Bijan Robinson Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 21.5 over: -110
  • Receiving Yards 21.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

At a mere 27.94 seconds per play, the Falcons offense checks in as the 8th-fastest paced in the league (in a neutral context) this year.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.

Bijan Robinson has run a route on 64.4% of his offense's passing plays this year, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Our trusted projections expect Bijan Robinson to accrue 4.4 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 90th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Bijan Robinson is positioned as one of the best RB receiving threats this year, averaging an excellent 30.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 96th percentile.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

With a 8.5-point advantage, the Falcons are a massive favorite in this week's contest, implying much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard game plan.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 49.9% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the New York Giants, averaging the fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.1 per game) this year.

In regards to air yards, Bijan Robinson ranks in just the 7th percentile among running backs this year, accruing just -4.0 per game.

Projection For Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Bijan Robinson is projected to have 26.2 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • Total Receptions
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • To Score 4+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Rush
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • Longest Reception
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • Total Receptions
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • To Score 4+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Rush
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • Longest Reception
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
4
4
4
4
Consensus
-120
-129
-120
-111
-113
-109
-125
-109
-125
-105
-125
-110
+100
-132
-114
-130
-125
-110
-130
-105
-115
-115
-115
-115
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+150
-
+155
Consensus
-
+140
-
+150
Consensus
-
+400
-
+390
Consensus
-
+470
-
+400
Consensus
-
+260
-
+250
Consensus
+116
-168
+122
-169
Consensus
-
+340
-
+300
-
+170
-
+155
-
+145
-
+145
-
+420
-
+410
-
+440
-
+440
-
+260
-
+260
-
-175
-
-170
-
+300
-
+300
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+326
+320
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
17
16
18
71
72
76
75
74
70
73
17
18
16
71
74
75
72
73
76
70
17
16
18
71
72
76
75
74
70
73
17
18
16
71
74
75
72
73
76
70
Consensus
-115
-118
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-113
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-118
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-118
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-
-116
-
-117
-119
-
-119
-
-
-
-
-117
-114
-113
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-116
-
-118
-116
-
-119
-
-
-
-
-114
-111
-112
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-129
-129
-
-119
-125
-
-125
-
-
-
-106
-115
-111
-109
-109
-
-
-
-
-
-129
-129
-
-119
-123
-
-125
-
-
-
-106
-115
-115
-111
-109
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-
-115
-115
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-115
-120
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-110
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-118
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-118
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-118
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-114
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-
-114
-114
-113
-114
-
-
-
-110
-114
-114
-110
-114
-
-113
-
-
-
-110
-113
-
-114
-114
-110
-114
-
-
-
-110
-114
-114
-114
-114
-
-110
-
-
-
-120
-120
-
-110
-110
-
-120
-
-
-
-110
-115
-120
-115
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-115
-
-115
-110
-
-115
-
-
-
-110
-120
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-
-120
-
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+7500
+7500
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
16
16
16
16
Consensus
-122
-105
-122
-109
-120
+100
-120
-110
-115
-105
-115
-105
-115
-120
-105
-110
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+1283
+1333
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
16
17
16
17
16
17
16
17
Consensus
-108
+107
-140
-145
-109
+110
-125
-143
-110
+115
-120
-150
-110
+115
-120
-150
+108
-
-128
-
-102
-
-140
-
-105
+105
-120
-135
-110
+100
-125
-140
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
12
13
13
12
12
13
13
12
Consensus
-126
-111
-124
-105
-123
-107
-121
-113
-127
-115
-119
-109
-127
-104
-131
-108
-125
-105
-130
-105
-125
-110
-125
-105
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
26
24
25
23
27
26
24
25
23
27
26
24
25
23
27
26
24
25
23
27
Consensus
-123
-117
-114
-118
-
-110
-108
-114
-111
-
-123
-122
-116
-120
-
-112
-116
-116
-112
-
-125
-125
-121
-125
-
-111
-113
-113
-109
-
-123
-125
-121
-121
-
-109
-109
-113
-109
-
-120
-120
-115
-
-
-110
-115
-115
-
-
-120
-120
-120
-
-
-110
-115
-110
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-110
-110
-
-
-
-114
-114
-
-
-
-114
-114
-
-
-
-113
-
-110
-115
-120
-
-
-120
-120
-110
-
-
-115
-110
-120
-
-
-110
-120
-110
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-125
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
100
102
104
103
101
99
105
100
102
103
99
101
104
105
100
102
104
103
101
99
105
100
102
103
99
101
104
105
Consensus
-121
-117
-120
-116
-117
-117
-
-115
-113
-115
-113
-118
-115
-
-119
-117
-116
-120
-118
-120
-
-112
-115
-113
-115
-115
-118
-
-119
-117
-119
-119
-121
-119
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-113
-115
-
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-114
-114
-114
-114
-
-114
-
-114
-114
-
-114
-114
-114
-
-114
-113
-115
-115
-
-114
-
-114
-114
-
-114
-115
-114
-110
-115
-115
-115
-115
-120
-
-120
-115
-115
-110
-120
-115
-
-115
-115
-110
-115
-120
-120
-
-115
-120
-115
-110
-110
-115
-