Jay Sanin on January 26, 2025
Austin Ekeler projections and prop bets for Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles on Jan 26, 2025
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
At a -6-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
The Commanders have called the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 60.4 plays per game.
In this game, Austin Ekeler is predicted by the projections to place in the 100th percentile among running backs with 3.6 targets.
Austin Ekeler has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 12.2% this year, which ranks him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to RBs.
With an exceptional 27.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (95th percentile) this year, Austin Ekeler places among the best pass-catching RBs in the NFL.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Commanders to pass on 54.6% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Commanders are anticipated by our trusted projection set to call just 64.8 total plays in this game: the lowest number on the slate this week.
Opposing QBs teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Philadelphia Eagles, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 27.8 per game) this year.
As it relates to air yards, Austin Ekeler grades out in the lowly 7th percentile among running backs this year, averaging just -4.0 per game.
The Eagles defense has yielded the 4th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 25.0) to running backs this year.
Austin Ekeler is projected to have 20.2 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
At a -6-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
The Commanders have called the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 60.4 plays per game.
In this game, Austin Ekeler is predicted by the projections to place in the 100th percentile among running backs with 3.6 targets.
Austin Ekeler has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 12.2% this year, which ranks him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to RBs.
Austin Ekeler's 87.7% Adjusted Catch% this year conveys a noteworthy gain in his receiving prowess over last year's 72.2% rate.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Commanders to pass on 54.6% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Commanders are anticipated by our trusted projection set to call just 64.8 total plays in this game: the lowest number on the slate this week.
Opposing QBs teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Philadelphia Eagles, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 27.8 per game) this year.
Austin Ekeler's 2.5 adjusted receptions per game this season indicates a significant reduction in his pass-catching skills over last season's 3.6 mark.
The Eagles linebackers rank as the 2nd-best group of LBs in football this year in defending receivers.
Austin Ekeler is projected to have 2.6 Receptions in this weeks game.
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
The Commanders have called the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 60.4 plays per game.
At a -6-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Commanders are anticipated by our trusted projection set to call just 64.8 total plays in this game: the lowest number on the slate this week.
After comprising 52.5% of his offense's run game usage last year, Austin Ekeler has had a smaller role in the running game this year, now making up just 23.3%.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Philadelphia's unit has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 5th-best in the NFL.
Austin Ekeler is projected to have 6.4 Carries in this weeks game.
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
The Commanders have called the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 60.4 plays per game.
Austin Ekeler's 5.0 adjusted yards per carry this year signifies a substantial progression in his rushing proficiency over last year's 3.5 rate.
At a -6-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Commanders are anticipated by our trusted projection set to call just 64.8 total plays in this game: the lowest number on the slate this week.
After comprising 52.5% of his offense's run game usage last year, Austin Ekeler has had a smaller role in the running game this year, now making up just 23.3%.
Austin Ekeler's 33.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year illustrates a meaningful drop-off in his rushing ability over last year's 44.0 figure.
This year, the imposing Philadelphia Eagles run defense has allowed a puny 102.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 4th-fewest in the league.
Austin Ekeler is projected to have 26.9 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
