Amon-Ra St. Brown projections and prop bets for Tennessee Titans at Detroit Lions on Oct 27, 2024
Amon-Ra St. Brown Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 6.5 over: 105
- Receptions 6.5 under: -135
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
In this contest, Amon-Ra St. Brown is expected by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 94th percentile among WRs with 9.4 targets.
With a sizeable 29.3% Target% (97th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown rates among the wide receivers with the most usage in the NFL.
Amon-Ra St. Brown comes in as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league, catching a terrific 76.7% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 90th percentile among wide receivers.
When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Tennessee's unit has been terrible this year, profiling as the 6th-worst in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
This week's spread implies an extreme rushing game script for the Lions, who are heavily favored by 11 points.
The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to be the 11th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 127.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Tennessee Titans, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 29.2 per game) this year.
Amon-Ra St. Brown's pass-catching performance diminished this season, compiling a measly 6.4 adjusted receptions vs 7.4 last season.
Projection For Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Prop Bet
Amon-Ra St. Brown is projected to have 6.7 Receptions in this weeks game.
Amon-Ra St. Brown Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 74.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 74.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
In this contest, Amon-Ra St. Brown is expected by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 94th percentile among WRs with 9.4 targets.
With a sizeable 29.3% Target% (97th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown rates among the wide receivers with the most usage in the NFL.
Amon-Ra St. Brown has accumulated a whopping 72.0 air yards per game this year: 82nd percentile when it comes to WRs.
Amon-Ra St. Brown comes in as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league, catching a terrific 76.7% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 90th percentile among wide receivers.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
This week's spread implies an extreme rushing game script for the Lions, who are heavily favored by 11 points.
The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to be the 11th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 127.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Tennessee Titans, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 29.2 per game) this year.
Amon-Ra St. Brown's 74.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year represents a significant diminishment in his receiving proficiency over last year's 98.0 mark.
Projection For Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Amon-Ra St. Brown is projected to have 82.5 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
