Amon-Ra St. Brown projections and prop bets for Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions on Dec 5, 2024
Amon-Ra St. Brown Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 69.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 69.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Lions to call the 6th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.7 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
In this week's game, Amon-Ra St. Brown is anticipated by the projection model to place in the 94th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 9.9 targets.
Amon-Ra St. Brown has been an integral part of his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 28.4% this year, which puts him in the 97th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
Amon-Ra St. Brown's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 75.1% to 83.4%.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
This week's line suggests a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 3 points.
Amon-Ra St. Brown has totaled significantly fewer air yards this year (62.0 per game) than he did last year (76.0 per game).
Amon-Ra St. Brown has put up significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (75.0) this season than he did last season (98.0).
Amon-Ra St. Brown's skills in grinding out extra yardage have worsened this season, notching just 3.34 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 5.55 figure last season.
This year, the tough Packers defense has allowed a mere 128.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wide receivers: the 4th-best in the league.
Projection For Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Amon-Ra St. Brown is projected to have 84.9 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Amon-Ra St. Brown Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 6.5 over: 105
- Receptions 6.5 under: -135
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Lions to call the 6th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.7 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
In this week's game, Amon-Ra St. Brown is anticipated by the projection model to place in the 94th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 9.9 targets.
Amon-Ra St. Brown has been an integral part of his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 28.4% this year, which puts him in the 97th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
Amon-Ra St. Brown's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 75.1% to 83.4%.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
This week's line suggests a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 3 points.
Amon-Ra St. Brown's receiving performance has tailed off this year, accumulating a mere 6.3 adjusted receptions compared to 7.4 last year.
The Green Bay Packers safeties profile as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
Projection For Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Prop Bet
Amon-Ra St. Brown is projected to have 6.8 Receptions in this weeks game.
