Amon-Ra St. Brown projections and prop bets for Detroit Lions at Indianapolis Colts on Nov 24, 2024
Amon-Ra St. Brown Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 74.5 over: -113
- Receiving Yards 74.5 under: -121
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to run the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.7 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down.
The leading projections forecast Amon-Ra St. Brown to notch 9.9 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 98th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
With an impressive 29.2% Target Share (97th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown has been as one of the WRs with the highest volume in the league.
The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has surrendered the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (71.8%) to wideouts this year (71.8%).
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
With a 7.5-point advantage, the Lions are a heavy favorite in this week's contest, indicating much more of a reliance on running than their standard approach.
The Lions have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 55.9 plays per game.
Amon-Ra St. Brown has put up significantly fewer air yards this year (61.0 per game) than he did last year (76.0 per game).
Amon-Ra St. Brown has totaled significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (76.0) this year than he did last year (98.0).
Amon-Ra St. Brown's talent in generating extra yardage have worsened this year, notching just 3.35 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 5.55 rate last year.
Projection For Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Amon-Ra St. Brown is projected to have 85.3 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Amon-Ra St. Brown Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 7.5 over: 115
- Receptions 7.5 under: -145
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to run the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.7 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down.
The leading projections forecast Amon-Ra St. Brown to notch 9.9 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 98th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
Amon-Ra St. Brown comes in as one of the best WRs in the game this year, averaging an excellent 6.5 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 97th percentile.
The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has surrendered the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (71.8%) to wideouts this year (71.8%).
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
With a 7.5-point advantage, the Lions are a heavy favorite in this week's contest, indicating much more of a reliance on running than their standard approach.
The Lions have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 55.9 plays per game.
The Indianapolis cornerbacks project as the 3rd-best collection of CBs in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.
Projection For Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Prop Bet
Amon-Ra St. Brown is projected to have 7 Receptions in this weeks game.
