Amon-Ra St. Brown projections and prop bets for Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears on Dec 22, 2024
Amon-Ra St. Brown Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 68.5 over: -115
- Receiving Yards 68.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The 9th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a massive 59.4 per game on average).
In this week's game, Amon-Ra St. Brown is projected by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 89th percentile among wide receivers with 8.7 targets.
With an extraordinary 27.4% Target% (95th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown places among the wide receivers with the biggest workloads in the league.
Amon-Ra St. Brown's 82.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this year conveys a meaningful improvement in his pass-catching ability over last year's 75.1% mark.
With a fantastic 9.8 adjusted yards per target (85th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown rates among the top pass-catching wide receivers in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
With a 7-point advantage, the Lions are heavily favored in this game, implying much more of an emphasis on running than their standard game plan.
The projections expect the Lions to be the 9th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 54.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the Lions to call the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 64.3 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
Amon-Ra St. Brown has compiled significantly fewer air yards this season (69.0 per game) than he did last season (76.0 per game).
This year, the imposing Bears defense has conceded a paltry 129.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing WRs: the 3rd-best in the NFL.
Projection For Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Amon-Ra St. Brown is projected to have 74.4 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
