Miami Heat
08:00 PM
ATS Picks on April 5, 2025
Read Projection
Made 3 Point Shots Prop Odds:
Made 3 Point Shots 1.5 over: 155
Made 3 Point Shots 1.5 under: -210
Trends Favoring The Over Made 3 Point Shots Prop
Pelle Larsson has made 53.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 16.6% more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season.
The Miami Heat check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a good one for 3-point attempts; when the Milwaukee Bucks are the visiting team, opposing starting SFs have totaled the 5th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.6).
Pelle Larsson ought to see a spike in efficiency in all facets of the game as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.
Trends Favoring The Under Made 3 Point Shots Shots Prop
The most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-slowest pace away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Bucks).
The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Pelle Larsson is projected to have 1.2 Made 3 Point Shots in today's game.
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Read Projection
Points Prop Odds:
Points 9.5 over: -120
Points 9.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Points Prop
Pelle Larsson has made 53.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 16.6% more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season.
The Miami Heat check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have totaled 7.0 buckets per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, identifying this as a strong matchup.
Pelle Larsson has attempted 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 5.6 free throws per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Bucks, finding it easy to get to the foul line.
Trends Favoring The Under Points Shots Prop
Among all players in the NBA, Pelle Larsson ranks in the 24th percentile for shots drained on his home court, posting a mere 1.6 per game this year.
The most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-slowest pace away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Bucks).
The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Pelle Larsson is projected to have 9.7 Points in today's game.
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Consensus | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total 3-Pointers Made | ov 1.5 (137) | ov 1.5 (100) | ov 1.5 (124) | ov 1.5 (145) | ov 1.5 (143) | - |
Total Assists | ov 2.5 (-115) | ov 2.5 (-120) | - | ov 2.5 (-110) | ov 2.5 (-113) | - |
Total Points | ov 10.5 (-113) | ov 10.5 (-125) | ov 10.5 (-111) | ov 10.5 (-105) | ov 10.5 (-113) | ov 10.5 (-115) |
Total Points & Rebounds | ov 14.5 (-109) | ov 14.5 (-115) | ov 14.5 (-106) | ov 13.5 (-130) | ov 14.5 (-106) | - |
Total Points, Rebounds, & Assists | ov 16.5 (-120) | ov 17.5 (-110) | - | ov 16.5 (-120) | ov 16.5 (-117) | ov 16.5 (-120) |
Total Rebounds | ov 3.5 (-120) | ov 3.5 (-120) | ov 3.5 (-132) | ov 3.5 (100) | ov 3.5 (-125) | - |
Total Rebounds & Assists | ov 6.5 (105) | ov 6.5 (100) | - | ov 6.5 (110) | - | - |
