Dereck Lively II projections and prop bets for Memphis Grizzlies at Dallas Mavericks on Dec 3, 2024
Dereck Lively II Player Prop Bet: Points
Points Prop Bet Odds:
- Points 7.5 over: -105
- Points 7.5 under: -125
Trends Favoring The Over Points Prop Bet
Out of all players in the league, Dereck Lively II rates in the 95th percentile for shooting proficiency on his home court with an excellent 68.1% rate this year.
The Mavericks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Dallas Mavericks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the most up-tempo pace visiting offense in the NBA this year (the Memphis Grizzlies).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 9th-best in in the league as the home team with 11.1 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. Brandon Clarke is a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; when Clarke is away from his home court fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 3.9 free throws per game (78th percentile).
Trends Favoring The Under Points Prop Bet
Dereck Lively II has attempted 0.0 three-pointers per game at home this year, putting him in the 9th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Dereck Lively II has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game at home this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Mavericks have been the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home as it relates to shot attempts from downtown.
The matchup with Brandon Clarke rates in the 7th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs scoring only 0.3 3-pointers per game this year when they are at home.
Projection For Dereck Lively II Points Prop Bet
Dereck Lively II is projected to have 9.5 Points in this weeks game.
