Dereck Lively II projections and prop bets for Minnesota Timberwolves at Dallas Mavericks on Dec 25, 2024
Dereck Lively II Player Prop Bet: Points
Points Prop Bet Odds:
- Points 7.5 over: -110
- Points 7.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Points Prop Bet
Dereck Lively II has successfully made 86.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 15.5% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.
The Mavericks have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 9th-best in in the NBA when playing at home with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Dereck Lively II will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally increases player performance in all facets of the game.
Trends Favoring The Under Points Prop Bet
Dereck Lively II has attempted 0.0 treys per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 7th percentile among all players in the league.
Among all players in the league, Dereck Lively II rates in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, tallying an enormous 2.9 fouls per game this year.
The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home when it comes to shot attempts from downtown.
The matchup with Rudy Gobert lands in the 17th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs scoring just 5.0 shots per game this year when they are playing at home.
The Dallas Mavericks are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Projection For Dereck Lively II Points Prop Bet
Dereck Lively II is projected to have 8.7 Points in this weeks game.
