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Zack Wheeler

Philadelphia Phillies

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Philadelphia Phillies

06:45 PM

Apr 2, 2025

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Colorado Rockies

  • Projections
  • Props

Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: 135

Earned Runs 1.5 under: -185

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The Colorado Rockies have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball since the start of last season, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), J.T. Realmuto (the Phillies's expected catcher today) grades out as a weak pitch framer.

In MLB, Citizens Bank Park's LF fences are the 8th-shallowest.

Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Zack Wheeler has experienced some positive variance in regards to his ERA since the start of last season; his 2.54 figure is quite a bit lower than his 3.18 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

Zack Wheeler projects as the 3rd-best starter in the league currently, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Colorado Rockies projected batting order profiles as the 2nd-weakest on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-worst ballpark in the game for batting average.

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which generally leads to worse offense.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects the 2nd-most suitable pitching conditions on the schedule today.

Zack Wheeler is projected to have 1.4 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 18.5 over: -115

Pitching Outs 18.5 under: -120

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Zack Wheeler projects as the 3rd-best starter in the league currently, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Zack Wheeler is expected to throw 99 pitches in this matchup, which is the highest number of pitches for all pitchers on the slate today. This estimate is based on his inherent tendencies and the nature of the matchup.

The Colorado Rockies projected batting order profiles as the 2nd-weakest on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-worst ballpark in the game for batting average.

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which generally leads to worse offense.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The Colorado Rockies have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball since the start of last season, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), J.T. Realmuto (the Phillies's expected catcher today) grades out as a weak pitch framer.

In MLB, Citizens Bank Park's LF fences are the 8th-shallowest.

Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Zack Wheeler has experienced some positive variance in regards to his ERA since the start of last season; his 2.54 figure is quite a bit lower than his 3.18 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Zack Wheeler is projected to have 18.8 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 8.5 over: -110

Strikeouts 8.5 under: -116

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Zack Wheeler projects as the 12th-best starting pitcher in baseball right now as it relates to his strikeout ability, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Zack Wheeler is expected to throw 99 pitches in this matchup, which is the highest number of pitches for all pitchers on the slate today. This estimate is based on his inherent tendencies and the nature of the matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the most strikeout-prone lineup in today's games is the Colorado Rockies with a 28.2% underlying K%.

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which generally leads to worse offense.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects the 2nd-most suitable pitching conditions on the schedule today.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), J.T. Realmuto (the Phillies's expected catcher today) grades out as a weak pitch framer.

Given the 0.37 gap between Zack Wheeler's 10.14 K/9 and his 9.77 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in baseball since the start of last season when it comes to strikeouts and ought to perform worse the rest of the season.

Zack Wheeler is projected to have 8.8 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Zack Wheeler Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel Caesars Fanatics
Hits Allowed
ov 3.5 (-119)
un 3.5 (-109)
ov 3.5 (-125)
un 3.5 (-115)
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-
-
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 1.5 (142)
un 1.5 (-181)
ov 1.5 (135)
un 1.5 (-185)
-
-
-
Total Outs Recorded
ov 18.5 (-115)
un 18.5 (-116)
ov 18.5 (-115)
un 18.5 (-115)
-
-
-
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 8.5 (-118)
un 8.5 (-113)
ov 8.5 (-120)
un 8.5 (-110)
ov 8.5 (-110)
un 8.5 (-116)
ov 8.5 (-121)
un 8.5 (-113)
ov 8.5 (-115)
un 8.5 (-115)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-115)
un 1.5 (-120)
ov 1.5 (-115)
un 1.5 (-120)
-
-
-

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