Seth Lugo Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -120

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -115

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The #1 park in baseball for boosting walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.

Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense.

Seth Lugo's 91.4-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 18th percentile out of all SPs.

Seth Lugo has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his ERA this year; his 2.84 figure is deflated compared to his 4.48 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Seth Lugo has been one of the luckiest hurlers in the majors on balls in play this year with a .242 BABIP and figures to see that luck normalize going forward.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

It is expected that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Cory Blaser) behind the plate in this game.

In the majors, Kauffman Stadium's right field fences are the deepest.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.

Seth Lugo is an extreme flyball pitcher (32.7% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is fortunate enough to be pitching in the #30 HR venue in the majors in this game.

Considering that flyball pitchers hold a significant advantage over flyball hitters, Seth Lugo and his 32.7% underlying FB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a strong position in this game facing 2 opposing FB hitters.

Seth Lugo is projected to have 2.9 Earned Runs in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 18.5 over: -120

Pitching Outs 18.5 under: -113

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Seth Lugo is projected to throw 98 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-most on the slate today.

It is expected that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Cory Blaser) behind the plate in this game.

In the majors, Kauffman Stadium's right field fences are the deepest.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.

Seth Lugo is an extreme flyball pitcher (32.7% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is fortunate enough to be pitching in the #30 HR venue in the majors in this game.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The #1 park in baseball for boosting walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.

Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense.

Seth Lugo's 91.4-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 18th percentile out of all SPs.

Seth Lugo has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his ERA this year; his 2.84 figure is deflated compared to his 4.48 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Seth Lugo has been one of the luckiest hurlers in the majors on balls in play this year with a .242 BABIP and figures to see that luck normalize going forward.

Seth Lugo is projected to have 18.3 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: -150

Strikeouts 4.5 under: 115

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Seth Lugo is projected to throw 98 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-most on the slate today.

It is expected that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Cory Blaser) behind the plate in this game.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.

Considering that flyball pitchers hold a significant advantage over flyball hitters, Seth Lugo and his 32.7% underlying FB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a strong position in this game facing 2 opposing FB hitters.

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher stats in all categories, and Seth Lugo will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #24 field in the majors for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense.

Seth Lugo's 91.4-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 18th percentile out of all SPs.

Checking in at the 9th percentile, Seth Lugo recorded a 7.7% Swinging Strike rate this year.

Seth Lugo is projected to have 5.6 Strikeouts in today's game.