Houston Astros
02:10 PM
ATS Picks on May 11, 2025
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Strikeouts Prop Odds:
Strikeouts 5.5 over: -161
Strikeouts 5.5 under: 128
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop
The Cincinnati Reds have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Matt McLain, Elly De La Cruz, Will Benson).
It is scheduled that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (CB Bucknor) calling pitches in this game.
The #6 stadium in the game for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.
Minute Maid Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to less offense.
Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Ronel Blanco will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop
Ronel Blanco is projected to have 5.9 Strikeouts in today's game.
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Earned Runs Prop Odds:
Earned Runs 2.5 over: 105
Earned Runs 2.5 under: -145
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop
The #7 ballpark in MLB for boosting walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.
Minute Maid Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in MLB.
Ronel Blanco has posted a 5.01 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that is concerned with the variables most within a pitcher's control) this year, placing in the 21st percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop
It is scheduled that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (CB Bucknor) calling pitches in this game.
Minute Maid Park has the 3rd-tallest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.
Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Ronel Blanco will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Ronel Blanco's curveball rate has increased by 10.7% from last year to this one (9.5% to 20.2%) .
Given the 0.35 deviation between Ronel Blanco's 4.98 ERA and his 4.63 estimated true talent ERA (per the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and should see better results in future games.
Ronel Blanco is projected to have 2.6 Earned Runs in today's game.
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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:
Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -156
Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 125
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop
It is scheduled that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (CB Bucknor) calling pitches in this game.
Minute Maid Park has the 3rd-tallest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.
Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Ronel Blanco will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Ronel Blanco's curveball rate has increased by 10.7% from last year to this one (9.5% to 20.2%) .
Given the 0.35 deviation between Ronel Blanco's 4.98 ERA and his 4.63 estimated true talent ERA (per the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and should see better results in future games.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop
Ronel Blanco has recorded 14.7 outs per outing this year, placing in the 25th percentile.
The #7 ballpark in MLB for boosting walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.
Minute Maid Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in MLB.
Ronel Blanco has posted a 5.01 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that is concerned with the variables most within a pitcher's control) this year, placing in the 21st percentile.
Ronel Blanco has displayed bad control since the start of last season, notching a 8th percentile Walk% of 10.2%.
Ronel Blanco is projected to have 16.3 Pitching Outs in today's game.
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Consensus | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hits Allowed | ov 4.5 (-106) | ov 4.5 (-110) | - | ov 4.5 (-110) | ov 4.5 (104) |
Total Earned Runs Allowed | ov 2.5 (110) | ov 2.5 (105) | - | ov 2.5 (105) | ov 2.5 (120) |
Total Outs Recorded | ov 17.5 (-129) | ov 17.5 (-130) | ov 17.5 (-115) | ov 17.5 (-135) | ov 17.5 (-160) |
Total Pitching Strikeouts | ov 6.5 (126) | ov 6.5 (125) | ov 5.5 (-152) | ov 6.5 (130) | ov 5.5 (-160) |
Walks Allowed | ov 2.5 (125) | ov 2.5 (135) | - | - | ov 2.5 (116) |
