JP Sears MLB projections and prop bets for Oakland Athletics at Seattle Mariners on Sep 27, 2024
JP Sears Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 4.5 over: -105
- Strikeouts 4.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
T-Mobile Park projects as the #1 field in MLB for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.
Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report projects the coldest weather of the day at 59°.
Because groundball pitchers hold a substantial edge over groundball batters, JP Sears and his 41.1% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a strong position today going up against 5 opposing GB batters.
JP Sears has had some very poor luck with his strikeouts this year, compiling a 6.85 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.70 — a 0.85 K/9 deviation.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Shea Langeliers (the Athletics's expected catcher today) grades out as a weak pitch framer.
The Seattle Mariners have 8 batters in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage against JP Sears today.
JP Sears will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
JP Sears's fastball velocity has dropped 1.1 mph this year (91.3 mph) below where it was last year (92.4 mph).
This season, JP Sears has introduced a new pitch to his pitch mix (a sinker), utilizing it on 10.3% of his pitches.
Projection For JP Sears Strikeouts Prop Bet
JP Sears is projected to have 4.8 Strikeouts in this weeks game.
JP Sears Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 3.5 over: 125
- Earned Runs 3.5 under: -170
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
The Seattle Mariners have been the 8th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress going forward
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Shea Langeliers (the Athletics's expected catcher today) grades out as a weak pitch framer.
The 3rd-shallowest right field fences among all parks are found in T-Mobile Park.
T-Mobile Park has the 8th-lowest fence height (on average) in the majors.
The Seattle Mariners have 8 batters in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage against JP Sears today.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
The #1 field in MLB for suppressing batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.
Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report projects the coldest weather of the day at 59°.
Because groundball pitchers hold a substantial edge over groundball batters, JP Sears and his 41.1% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a strong position today going up against 5 opposing GB batters.
Projection For JP Sears Earned Runs Prop Bet
JP Sears is projected to have 2.6 Earned Runs in this weeks game.
