Houston Astros
07:40 PM
ATS Picks on May 6, 2025
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Earned Runs Prop Odds:
Earned Runs 2.5 over: 130
Earned Runs 2.5 under: -175
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop
Among all parks, American Family Field's CF fences are the 6th-shallowest.
On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 7th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.
Given that flyball batters have a sizeable advantage over groundball pitchers, Hayden Wesneski and his 35.4% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a troublesome position in today's game being matched up with 3 opposing GB batters.
Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Hayden Wesneski today.
Hayden Wesneski has been one of the luckiest mound aces in baseball on balls in play this year with a .244 BABIP and should see that luck normalize going forward.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop
The #1 park in the game for suppressing batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.
Ranking in the 86th percentile, Hayden Wesneski has put up a 4.16 K/BB rate since the start of last season.
Milwaukee Brewers bats jointly rank 29th- in the league for power this year when using their 6.2% Barrel%.
Collectively, Milwaukee Brewers hitters have not performed well in regard to hitting balls in the launch angle span that tends to optimize home runs (between 23° and 34°), ranking worst in Major League Baseball.
Hayden Wesneski is projected to have 2.6 Earned Runs in today's game.
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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:
Pitching Outs 15.5 over: 105
Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -145
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop
The #1 park in the game for suppressing batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.
Ranking in the 86th percentile, Hayden Wesneski has put up a 4.16 K/BB rate since the start of last season.
Milwaukee Brewers bats jointly rank 29th- in the league for power this year when using their 6.2% Barrel%.
Collectively, Milwaukee Brewers hitters have not performed well in regard to hitting balls in the launch angle span that tends to optimize home runs (between 23° and 34°), ranking worst in Major League Baseball.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop
Among all parks, American Family Field's CF fences are the 6th-shallowest.
On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 7th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.
Given that flyball batters have a sizeable advantage over groundball pitchers, Hayden Wesneski and his 35.4% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a troublesome position in today's game being matched up with 3 opposing GB batters.
Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Hayden Wesneski today.
Hayden Wesneski has been one of the luckiest mound aces in baseball on balls in play this year with a .244 BABIP and should see that luck normalize going forward.
Hayden Wesneski is projected to have 15.5 Pitching Outs in today's game.
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Strikeouts Prop Odds:
Strikeouts 4.5 over: -105
Strikeouts 4.5 under: -125
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop
American Family Field profiles as the #1 stadium in MLB for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Hayden Wesneski to be on a pitch count in today's game, projecting a maximum of 84 pitches.
Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.
Given that flyball batters have a sizeable advantage over groundball pitchers, Hayden Wesneski and his 35.4% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a troublesome position in today's game being matched up with 3 opposing GB batters.
Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Hayden Wesneski today.
Hayden Wesneski is projected to have 4.9 Strikeouts in today's game.
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Consensus | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hits Allowed | ov 4.5 (-102) | ov 4.5 (-110) | - | ov 4.5 (-105) | ov 4.5 (-103) |
Total Earned Runs Allowed | ov 2.5 (128) | ov 2.5 (130) | - | ov 2.5 (125) | ov 2.5 (126) |
Total Outs Recorded | ov 15.5 (114) | ov 15.5 (120) | ov 15.5 (112) | ov 15.5 (115) | ov 15.5 (104) |
Total Pitching Strikeouts | ov 4.5 (-135) | ov 4.5 (-130) | ov 4.5 (-128) | ov 4.5 (-135) | ov 4.5 (-133) |
Walks Allowed | ov 1.5 (-157) | ov 1.5 (-160) | - | - | ov 1.5 (-154) |
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