Houston Astros
Pitching Outs Prop Odds:
Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -147
Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 115
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop
The underlying talent of the San Diego Padres projected lineup today (.311 projected wOBA per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be considerably worse than their .335 wOBA this year.
The San Diego Padres have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse the rest of the season
Victor Caratini, the Astros's expected catcher in today's matchup, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Among all stadiums, the 3rd-tallest fence height (on average) are at Minute Maid Park.
Hayden Wesneski will hold the platoon advantage over 6 opposing hitters in this game.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Minute Maid Park as the 9th-best park in baseball for home runs.
In Major League Baseball, Minute Maid Park's LF fences are the 2nd-shallowest.
Hayden Wesneski is an extreme flyball pitcher (35.8% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #9 HR venue in the league in this matchup.
Given that groundball pitchers are hit hardest by flyball hitters, Hayden Wesneski (35.8% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 FB hitters in San Diego's projected offense.
Given the 0.78 discrepancy between Hayden Wesneski's 3.89 ERA and his 4.67 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in the league since the start of last season and should negatively regress in the future.
Hayden Wesneski is projected to have 16.5 Pitching Outs in today's game.
Strikeouts Prop Odds:
Strikeouts 4.5 over: -141
Strikeouts 4.5 under: 110
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Hayden Wesneski in the 75th percentile when it comes to his strikeout ability.
Victor Caratini, the Astros's expected catcher in today's matchup, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The #8 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.
Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which often leads to worse offense.
Hayden Wesneski will hold the platoon advantage over 6 opposing hitters in this game.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop
The San Diego Padres (19.1 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 2nd-least strikeout-heavy set of batters of all teams today.
Given that groundball pitchers are hit hardest by flyball hitters, Hayden Wesneski (35.8% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 FB hitters in San Diego's projected offense.
Hayden Wesneski is projected to have 4.5 Strikeouts in today's game.
Earned Runs Prop Odds:
Earned Runs 2.5 over: 105
Earned Runs 2.5 under: -150
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Minute Maid Park as the 9th-best park in baseball for home runs.
In Major League Baseball, Minute Maid Park's LF fences are the 2nd-shallowest.
Hayden Wesneski is an extreme flyball pitcher (35.8% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #9 HR venue in the league in this matchup.
Given that groundball pitchers are hit hardest by flyball hitters, Hayden Wesneski (35.8% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 FB hitters in San Diego's projected offense.
Given the 0.78 discrepancy between Hayden Wesneski's 3.89 ERA and his 4.67 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in the league since the start of last season and should negatively regress in the future.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop
The underlying talent of the San Diego Padres projected lineup today (.311 projected wOBA per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be considerably worse than their .335 wOBA this year.
The San Diego Padres have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse the rest of the season
Victor Caratini, the Astros's expected catcher in today's matchup, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Among all stadiums, the 3rd-tallest fence height (on average) are at Minute Maid Park.
Hayden Wesneski will hold the platoon advantage over 6 opposing hitters in this game.
Hayden Wesneski is projected to have 2.4 Earned Runs in today's game.
Hits Allowed | |
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![]() | ov 5.5 (-103) un 5.5 (-135) |
![]() | ov 5.5 (-105) un 5.5 (-135) |
![]() | - |
![]() | ov 5.5 (-105) un 5.5 (-135) |
![]() | ov 5.5 (100) un 5.5 (-137) |
![]() | - |
Total Earned Runs Allowed | |
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![]() | ov 2.5 (111) un 2.5 (-153) |
![]() | ov 2.5 (110) un 2.5 (-150) |
![]() | - |
![]() | ov 2.5 (110) un 2.5 (-155) |
![]() | ov 2.5 (112) un 2.5 (-154) |
![]() | - |