COLLEGE BASKETBALL

Marist has put together the better season at 19-12 overall and 12-8 in conference play, while Dartmouth sits at 11-16 overall and 5-9 in conference action. The Red Foxes have been especially strong at home, and that matters here because this matchup is set in Marist’s building. Dartmouth does have a respectable away record for an underdog profile, but the overall body of work still favors the home side. From a market-form standpoint, Marist has been a better team against the number and has delivered a positive margin profile, while Dartmouth has been below break-even on both the season-long cover rate and overall results. The available statistical data also points toward a lower-scoring game environment, which fits Marist’s ability to control tempo and lean on its home edge rather than needing a track meet.
Marist is the side with the stronger case at home, backed by the better overall record, the stronger conference mark, and a more favorable against-the-spread and over/under profile. Dartmouth has enough road competence to avoid being dismissed, but the Red Foxes have the clearer path to a win. Projected final score: Marist Red Foxes 71, Dartmouth Big Green 64.