Jannik Sinner -4.5 Games (-110) over Daniil Medvedev
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- Sinner has been on court for 5.5 fewer hours than Medvedev at this tournament.
- The Italian has beaten Daniil Medvedev in three straight meetings to close out the 2023 season, all on hard courts.
The 2024 Australian Open final is set, with Jannik Sinner set to battle Daniil Medvedev in a match where the winner will claim their first title at this major tournament. So far this fortnight, Sinner has played the best tennis in the men’s draw, but Medvedev certainly has the fight necessary to win this one for himself. In our tennis betting picks for Sunday, we break down Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev in the Australian Open final.
Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev Betting Pick
Sinner -4.5 (-110) games over Medvedev
Why Bet On Jannik Sinner:
✅ Medvedev won the first six meetings between these players after winning the Miami masters final in 2023. But Sinner has since won three straight hardcourt matches against Medvedev, including one at the year-end ATP Finals. Sinner has figured things out against the Russian and should continue to do so on Sunday.
✅ Medvedev has played so much more tennis than Sinner at this tournament, with Sinner playing over five fewer hours of tennis over the last two weeks in Melbourne. The Italian will have fresher legs in this match and that will help him to come away with his first major title.
Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev has had a much tougher path to the Australian Open final than Jannik Sinner. This is not a product of the draw Medvedev had to endure, as Sinner had to get through some great players just as Medvedev has. But going into this Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev showdown down under, Medvedev has had to play so much more tennis than his young counterpart in this final.
Medvedev has played three five-set matches at this tournament, including five-setters against Hubert Hurkacz and Alexander Zverev in his last two outings. With Medvedev playing so much more tennis than Sinner at this event, Medvedev’s grinding style of play could work against him against someone who has much fresher legs going into this championship match.
Jannik Sinner
Jannik Sinner was among the favorites to win the Australian Open before the tournament started. He has lived up to that billing, dropping just one set en route to this Australian Open final. That one set was dropped to Novak Djokovic, but Sinner dominated their semifinal match for the most part, winning by three sets to one and making a statement that he is here to win this championship on Rod Laver Arena.
For Sinner, the key to this match is going to be managing nerves in his first major final. Medvedev has an experience edge going into this match, by virtue of having played in three major finals before. But Sinner is the fresher player and is playing better tennis right now, which could be the great equalizer if he can manage his emotions on this stage.
