Stuttgart vs. Viking Odds and Market Analysis
The outright market tells us just how large the perceived gap is. Current U.S. sportsbook prices have Stuttgart roughly between -400 and -450 at DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM in recent market snapshots, with Viking around +900 to +1000. That gives Stuttgart an implied win probability around 80% or higher before accounting for sportsbook margin.
At those prices, the moneyline offers very little appeal.
The spread is more reasonable. Stuttgart -1.5 has moved into roughly the -160 to -175 range, with the current ATS odds feed showing FanDuel at -160. A -160 price implies a break-even probability of about 61.5%.
Polymarket is slightly more cautious. Traders currently price Stuttgart -1.5 at about 58-59%, while Over 3.5 is also around 59%. Stuttgart are around 78% to win outright. The spread market has attracted roughly $23,000 in trading volume, so I would use it as an additional point of comparison rather than treating it as a definitive forecast.
That difference is worth acknowledging. Polymarket's spread probability is a little below the break-even point on -160, so this is not a bet I would chase if the sportsbook price continues getting shorter.
The advantage of the spread over the total, for me, is the range of outcomes it covers. A 2-0 Stuttgart win cashes -1.5 but leaves Over 3.5 short. I am more confident in Stuttgart creating separation than I am in requiring the match to produce four goals.