Wednesday’s 2022 World Cup betting slate wraps up with the final two matches in Group C, with Mexico vs Saudi Arabia being the focus of this preview. All four nations are still alive with a chance to advance but Mexico absolutely needs a big win over Saudi Arabia if they are to continue their streak of advancing to the Round of 16.
Mexico is favored by oddsmakers to earn the win over Saudi Arabia, listed at -143 odds to pick up the full three points. Saudi Arabia sits at +375 odds to earn the win, with the draw priced at +300. The total goals for Mexico v Saudi Arabia is set at 2.5 goals.
Mexico vs Saudi Arabia Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Mexico -0.75 (-110) |
| ? Recommended Sportsbook Promo: | Bet $10, Win $200 if a goal is scored |
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This game will be played at Lusail Stadium at 2:00 PM ET on Wednesday, November 29, 2022.
Why Bet On Mexico:
✅ Mexico is the better side of the two, despite Saudi Arabia’s upset win over Argentina. Mexico played well against Argentina for 60 minutes before a moment of brilliance from outside the box from Lionel Messi handed El Tri the defeat.
✅ El Tri are due for some goals in this tournament. After two matches, they have failed to find the back of the net. Something that should change against Saudi Arabia as they will be going all out to hopefully get the win.
✅ With a -2 goal differential, Mexico needs to win by multiple goals or hope for a Poland win over Argentina if they want to advance. Meaning Mexico will be chasing goals even if they go up by a goal in the match.
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Mexico
Mexico is at risk of their long running streak of qualifying out of the group stage coming to an end as their Nil-Nil draw against Poland, followed by their loss to Saudi Arabia has them in big, big trouble.
With a -2 goal differential, Mexico needs either a big win over Saudi Arabia or a lot of luck from underdogs Poland against Argentina to make it to the Round of 16. That means Mexico needs to find a way to score goals in a hurry after going 180 minutes without one in their first two Group C matches.
Recent history is also not in Mexico’s favor. They are winless in their last four World Cup matches, the longest streak since failing to win their first 13 games at the World Cup between 1930 and 1962. El Tri has also won just three of their last 11 matches dating back to June, a poor run of form they need to turn around to keep their World Cup dreams alive.
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia failed to build on the momentum of their big 2-1 win over Argentina in their second group stage match against Poland, losing 2-0. Robert Lewandowski proved too big of a challenge for the Saudi defenders to keep off the scoresheet as Poland prevented suffering the same fate Messi and Argentina did by dispatching the underdogs.
Now, Saudi Arabia needs a win or a draw and a Poland defeat to advance to the Round of 16. If they manage to beat Mexico, it would be just the second time the country has advanced to the next round of the World Cup. The first time was at USA 1994, where they were eliminated by Sweden after getting out of the groups.
Keeping a clean sheet is potentially crucial for Saudi Arabia’s chances of advancing. A big concern given their poor record of keeping opponents off the scoresheet at the tournament. Saudi Arabia has the worst clean sheet ratio in the tournament’s history at 6%, giving up at least a goal just once in 18 all-time matches at the World Cup.
