Friday has an soccer betting opportunity in the Premier League as Aston Villa plays Leeds in a battle of two clubs in the bottom half of the table. Villa sits fairly safe from relegation in 11th place with 22 points while a result is a bit more important for Leeds in this Aston Villa vs Leeds United match as they are just two points above the drop with 17 points and sit 14th in the league.
The oddsmakers fancy an Aston Villa win at home at -110 odds, while Leeds play the role of underdogs with +300 odds for a win at Villa Park. Draw bettors are looking at odds of +260 for the clubs to split the points and the match total is set at 2.5 goals.
Aston Villa vs Leeds United Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Leeds +0.5 (-104) |
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This game will be played at Villa Park at 3:00 PM ET on Friday, January 13, 2023.
Why Bet on Leeds United:
✅ Aston Villa enters this match on the back of two dreadful performances at home. Villa drew second bottom Wolverhampton in the league before losing 2-1 in their FA Cup match against League Two club Stevenage.
✅ Leeds haven’t won in five matches but their last three matches were all draws, good enough for them to cover the +0.5 if they hold off Aston Villa.
✅ Leeds are in good goalscoring form ahead of this match, scoring twice both of their last two matches.
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Aston Villa
Aston Villa quickly need to recover from a meltdown in the FA Cup to avoid letting the embarrassment of losing to Stevenage impact their position in the Premier League. Villa saw a 1-0 lead in the 89th minute turn into a 2-1 defeat as poor defending gave Stevenage a famous win and Villa one of their worst defeats in recent memory.
Outside of better defending, Villa could use more goalscoring as scoring a single goal ultimately wasn’t enough to get the win against Wolverhampton and then Stevenage. If Villa are to score multiple goals, it will likely come from Danny Ings up top. Ings leads Villa in scoring with six on the season with Leon Bailey and Ollie Watkins sitting on three goals apiece as secondary scoring support.
Most of Villa’s attacking success came once they made the decision to bring Unai Emery in as manager. Villa scored just seven goals in 11 league games under Steven Gerrard this season, at an average of 0.6 per game. Since his departure, the Villans average 1.9 goals per game in the Premier League. More than doubling their output since sacking Gerrard.
Leeds United
Leeds haven’t won much of late but continue to avoid defeat after a run of three consecutive draws. Manager Jesse Marsch will be encouraged to see his squad come from behind to draw West Ham and then Cardiff, forcing a replay at home in the latter match to stay alive in the FA Cup.
The key for Leeds will be avoiding falling behind to necessitate a comeback. Leeds needed second half comebacks in their last two matches as two goal performances were not enough to earn victory due to some sloppy defending.
Leeds had an impressive away draw against Newcastle in their last away Premier League match, holding a Top 4 side to a Nil-Nil. That result is an encouraging sign for a club that has just one away win and five losses in eight away matches in the league so far this season.
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