It might feel like the soccer season is far off in the distance during the July heat of the midsummer and we are months away from the return of the Premier League. However, the 2022/2023 EPL season is mere days away and time is running out to place futures wagers on the upcoming campaign.
For those looking for tasty, high value bets in the futures market, we have you covered with season preview best bets in the days leading up to the first matchday of the new season. Starting with today’s look at the Premier League Top Goalscorer market and a new superstar marksman coming to the title holders who is the favorite and best bet to win the EPL Golden Boot.
Young star Erling Haaland is headed to Manchester City after a transfer took the world’s best young goalscorer from Borussia Dortmund to the English top flight and the club his father once played for. A storybook signing that will bolster the City attack that was potent enough to win the league without a traditional striker on their roster last season.
Let’s take a look and examine why Haaland’s favorite price of +250 at BetMGM is the investment to make in the Premier League Top Goalscorer futures market.
Why Erling Haaland Is The Best Bet For Premier League Top Goalscorer
The first reason to bet on Haaland is simple math. Manchester City scores the most goals in the Premier League so therefore a traditional striker with the skill of Haaland should get the most chances and score the most goals.
Last season Manchester City scored 99 goals, which somehow was a drop off season for a club that fills the back of the net like no other side in English football history. In the past decade, City have managed to break the 100 goal mark twice and consistently finish above the 90 goal barrier at the end of the season.
It is expected to see City’s attack finish well above a 2.5 goal per game pace. That means Haaland will receive ample opportunities to bag goals and prove his worth as the piece to further cement the defending champions as an unstoppable force.
World Cup Factor Plays In Haaland’s Favor
The Top Goalscorer market this season is heavily impacted by the presence of a midseason World Cup as the Qatar tournament provides the risk factor of injuries and absences in the build up and aftermath of the competition.
Haaland and his countrymen failed to qualify for the tournament, which gives him an edge against the majority of the field of favorites for the Golden Boot this season. Top Goalscorer candidates such as Darwin Nunez, Son-Heung Min, Harry Kane, Gabriel Jesus, and Cristiano Ronaldo will all be balancing their focus on both their club and the looming World Cup this season. Leaving Haaland and Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah as the two top names solely locked into the Premier League and Champions League campaigns from start to finish.
The World Cup factor appears to be considered in the oddsmakers pricing for the goalscorer market as Haaland is the aforementioned favorite at +250 and Mo Salah is listed as the second favorite at +500.
Haaland Risk Factors
As with every wager, there are pros and cons to backing Haaland in this market. Health will factor in as Haaland made a habit out of the odd night off due to injury while in the Bundesliga, costing Dortmund any hope of chasing down their rivals in FC Bayern.
There is also the question on how Haaland will fit in the Man City system under Pep Guardiola, who is known to go without traditional forwards for long stretches at his club. A question that is a minor concern when weighed against the chances Haaland is likely to see now that he is the focal point of the best attack in the world at the moment.
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Final Verdict on Top Goalscorer
After weighing all of the factors, Haaland’s +250 price can’t be passed up in my mind. The dynamite striker will be hungry for goals to prove the value of his massive price to bring him to Manchester.
In a wonky season with a mid-campaign World Cup that is going to throw wrenches in league campaigns across the globe, the lack of a potential international injury also has to make you feel good about Haaland’s chances. For those looking to make some money on the Top Goalscorer market, don’t overthink it and back the favorite who will be banging in the goals in front of the electric and high producing City attack that has a stranglehold on Premier League defenses.
