Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay Lightning

Mar 1, 2025

Washington Capitals

Washington Capitals
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals Pick – 3/1/2025

As the Tampa Bay Lightning and Washington Capitals face off on March 1, 2025, hockey enthusiasts and betting aficionados alike eagerly anticipate this thrilling midday showdown. With the puck set to drop at 12:30 pm EST, fans are buzzing with excitement to see these two formidable teams clash at the Capital One Arena. The Lightning, renowned for their high-octane offense, will be looking to dominate, while the Capitals, steadfast and gritty on their home ice, aim to topple a formidable adversary. Let's delve into a closer look at both teams, get some insights into the betting landscape, and see which squad seems likely to come out on top.

Overview of Tampa Bay Lightning

The Tampa Bay Lightning have been a powerhouse in the NHL in recent years, consistently showcasing a blend of speed, skill, and resilience. This season, they're upholding that reputation with a balanced roster and a deep bench capable of weathering the storm in tight games. Renowned for their aggressive offensive plays and solid power-play execution, the Lightning can tilt the ice in their favor with relentless pressure on their opponents. Their defense, however, is equally robust, often stifling opposing offenses with disciplined and strategic play. As they head into this clash against the Capitals, the Lightning will be intent on continuing their successful road performance.

Overview of Washington Capitals

The Washington Capitals are no strangers to success on their home ice, leveraging the energy of their passionate fanbase. With a rich history and a tradition of competitiveness, the Capitals have built a team that's tough to beat, especially within the friendly confines of their arena. Known for their physical play and opportunistic offense, the Capitals excel in creating chances from seemingly impossible scenarios. Their defensive unit can be tenacious, often frustrating even the most potent of offenses with their staunch guarding of the crease. Playing against a team like the Lightning, the Capitals will aim to impose their physical style and control the pace right from the first drop of the puck.

Betting Insights

With DraftKings Sportsbook setting the moneyline odds with the Lightning as slight favorites at -112 and the Capitals closely trailing at -108, the matchup reflects how closely matched these two teams are. This evenly poised contest makes for compelling betting opportunities—the spread is negligible, offering minimal room for error, while the total goals are pegged at 6.5, suggesting expectations of a high-scoring affair. Bettors should keep an eye on line movements closer to the game day, as any late changes might prove pivotal in deciding the value plays.

Key Factors

Several key factors could influence the outcome of this game. Home ice advantage is always crucial in the NHL, and the Capitals will look to capitalize on this. However, the Lightning's proficient special teams could swing the momentum, particularly if the Capitals find themselves frequently visiting the penalty box. Health and squad depth will also be vital—keeping pace and managing fatigue in a fast-paced game can often determine a winner.

Pick and Analysis

Given the strategic matchups and the tight odds, this game promises to be a neck-and-neck battle until the final buzzer. However, considering the Lightning's explosive offense and their ability to adapt on the road, they may have the slight edge in this contest. If Tampa Bay can stay disciplined, avoid penalties, and utilize their power play efficiently, they're likely to come out victorious. For those considering a wager, betting on the Lightning to win could be a smart play. Additionally, given both teams' offensive capabilities, the over 6.5 total goals offers a tempting proposition for those expecting an open, high-scoring game. Ultimately, whether you're a seasoned bettor or a hockey enthusiast, this game is likely to deliver excitement and drama in equal measure. Stay informed with the most recent NHL news and our analytics-driven NHL picks and predictions all season long.

Consensus

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-115
0% TB
-105
0% WAS

Total Pick Consensus

6.5/-125
8% UN
6.5/+105
92% OV

Puckline Pick Consensus

-1.5/+220
0% TB
+1.5/-270
0% WAS

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Team Records
  • Goalies
  • Recent Starts
TB
Team Stats
WAS
207
Goals For
214
154
Goals Agst
151
2.79
PP For GM
2.81
.76
PP Goals GM
.68
27.16
PP%
24.10
2.5
PP Agst GM
2.86
.48
PP Agst Goals GM
.51
80.69
PK%
82.25
8.4
PIM GM
7.8
9.0
oPIM GM
7.8
TB
Team Records
WAS
34-20-4
Overall
38-13-8
1-1
Shootout
0-3
4-3
Overtime
5-5
21-7-2
Home
18-6-6
13-13-2
Road
20-7-2
16-10-4
EAS
23-7-4
18-10-0
WES
15-6-4
7-9-0
ATL
10-3-4
9-1-4
MET
13-4-0
7-6-0
CEN
6-4-3
11-4-0
PAC
9-2-1
8-7-4
≤1
11-4-8
22-6-0
≥3
18-3-0
7-3-0
Oct
7-2-0
5-6-2
Nov
10-4-1
8-3-0
Dec
8-4-1
7-8-1
Jan
9-1-4
7-0-1
Feb
4-2-2
0-0-0
Mar
0-0-0
0-0-0
Apr
0-0-0
A. Vasilevskiy
L. Thompson
10
GP
5
10
GS
5
6-4-0
W-L-T/O
5-0-0
24
Goals Allowed
15
2.54
GAA
2.97
256
Shots Against
141
.906
SV%
.894
1
SO
0
5
Quality Starts
2
.500
QS%
.400
3
Bad Starts
2
92
Goals All.%
104
2.08
Goals Sv Above Avg
-0.63

A. Vasilevskiy

Date
Opp
W/L
GA
SA
SV
SV%
5/4/22 TOR
Campbell N/A
W5-3 N/A
3
34
31
.912
5/2/22 TOR
Campbell N/A
L0-5 N/A
5
32
27
.844
4/29/22 NYI
Sorokin N/A
W6-4 N/A
4
37
33
.892
4/26/22 CBJ
Merzlikins N/A
W4-1 N/A
1
21
20
.952
4/24/22 FLA
Bobrovsky N/A
W8-4 N/A
4
39
35
.897

L. Thompson

Date
Opp
W/L
GA
SA
SV
SV%
4/29/22 STL
Husso N/A
W7-4 N/A
4
18
14
.778
4/27/22 CHI
Lankinen N/A
L3-4 N/A
3
40
37
.925
4/26/22 DAL
Oettinger N/A
L2-3 N/A
2
30
28
.933
4/24/22 SJ
Reimer N/A
L4-5 N/A
4
29
25
.862
4/20/22 WAS
Samsonov N/A
W4-3 N/A
1
13
12
.923

Odds

  • MoneyLine
  • PuckLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
TB WAS
TB WAS
Consensus
+108
-130
-113
-106
+110
-130
-115
-105
+104
-125
-115
-104
+108
-130
-114
-107
+105
-125
-115
-105
-105
-115
-110
-110
Open
Current
Book
TB WAS
TB WAS
Consensus
+1.5 (216)
-1.5 (+190)
-1.5 (+216)
+1.5 (-270)
+1.5 (220)
-1.5 (+190)
-1.5 (+220)
+1.5 (-270)
+1.5 (-300)
-1.5 (+198)
+1.5 (-300)
-1.5 (+235)
+1.5 (215)
-1.5 (+185)
-1.5 (+215)
+1.5 (-275)
+1.5 (215)
-1.5 (+185)
-1.5 (+215)
+1.5 (-267)
+1.5 (-250)
-1.5 (+200)
+1.5 (-250)
-1.5 (+200)
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
5.5 (-125)
5.5 (+105)
6.0 (-114)
6.0 (-106)
5.5 (-125)
5.5 (+105)
6.5 (+105)
6.5 (-125)
5.5 (-140)
5.5 (+114)
6.5 (+106)
6.5 (-130)
6.0 (-109)
6.0 (-112)
6.0 (-110)
6.0 (-110)
6.0 (-110)
6.0 (-110)
6.0 (-120)
6.0 (+100)
6.0 (-110)
6.0 (-110)
6.0 (-110)
6.0 (-110)

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