Avalanche vs Devils Player Props Prediction: Jack Hughes Has the Edge

Hughes has registered 32 shots through eight games this season, averaging four per appearance. He's reached at least three shots six times, including an eight-shot performance against Detroit on October 13.

There are a couple of reasons I like his chances of continuing that production.

First, Hughes is projected to center New Jersey's top line alongside Arseny Gritsyuk and Jesper Bratt. Gritsyuk has been particularly productive lately, scoring three goals in his last four games, and having another dangerous forward on the ice should create opportunities for Hughes.

Then there's Colorado's schedule. Nathan MacKinnon and company played Monday night in Philadelphia, where MacKinnon logged more than 24 minutes. A quick turnaround against a rested Devils team isn't ideal, particularly when New Jersey has the speed to make Colorado work defensively.

However, there's a catch.

Colorado has generally been effective at limiting opponents' shooting opportunities, allowing roughly 26 shots per game this season. Hughes might be averaging four himself, but that doesn't automatically make four or five shots a reasonable expectation against this opponent.

That's why I'd rather target three.

My preferred position is Jack Hughes to record at least three shots on goal, assuming the contract becomes available.

I estimate his probability of reaching that mark at approximately 70–73%. An entry price of 66¢ or lower would provide enough potential value to make the trade interesting.

Hughes has recorded fewer than three shots twice this season, so this is hardly a guaranteed outcome. Colorado also has the puck-moving ability to control long stretches of play, regardless of how tired its players might be.

Still, the combination of Hughes' established shooting volume, his top-line responsibilities and New Jersey's rest advantage is difficult to ignore.