Washington Commanders at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Wild Card Pick – 1/12/2025

Commanders vs Buccaneers Betting Odds

Washington Commanders vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Washington Commanders vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Preview

The last time these two teams played each other was Week 1 in 2024. That game resulted in a win for the Buccaneers with a final score of 37-20. They say, good teams win, but great teams cover. The Buccaneers not only won, but covered the -4.0 spread that game. The Game Total for that game was 42.0 and which the Over hit.

Tampa Bay's primary advantage has been their offense, which ranks #2 in the NFL at 395 yards per game. The quality of their passing attack has led to much of their success. The Buccaneers 275 yards per game through the air ranks #2-best in football this year. They haven’t made things easy for opposing defense given they they've also positioned themselves in the top 10 on the ground as well, rushing for 5.04 yards per carry. It's easy to see why they've done so well through the air when you notice the quality of their offensive line, which ranks #2 in the league in pass protection. When it comes to their defense, the Buccaneers check in at #20 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 244 yards per game against Tampa Bay this year (#4 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #22 against them with 4.48 yards per ground attempt. This Buccaneers defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, keeping them in check at just 7.86 yards per target (#9-best in the league). Tampa Bay's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing tight ends, who have scorched them for 58 yards per game (#3-worst in the league).

Washington's biggest strength has been their defense, ranking #10 in the league while allowing just 327 yards per game. Much of their success has been in locking down the pass game, holding opposing QBs to the #4-least yards per game: 194. The Commanders pass defense has done the best job shutting down opposing running backs, holding them to 22 yards per game (#3-best). Washington's best position group in coverage has been their linebackers, which rank #3 in the league in locking down route-runners. Washington's pass rush has been strong this year, led by their linebackers, which check in as the #2-best unit in terms of getting to the passer. In terms of their offense, the Commanders have ranked #16 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 228 yards per game (#19 in football). On the ground they've ranked #8 with 4.65 yards per carry.

Washington Commanders vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction

Final Score: Washington Commanders 21.68 vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers 25.51

Visit the NFL picks and predictions section for the rest of today's games.